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Post by William Wilson on Mar 14, 2019 7:11:30 GMT
I think we won't need as many points as a lot of people are saying. 50 feels about right to me, maybe less. I`d feel more confident if 43 would keep us up.
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Post by supergas on Mar 14, 2019 9:34:03 GMT
Are there really teams of stattos at every game recording every pass, assist and kilometres run, or do they just faff up the numbers and everyone just laps it up? Sceptical about how accurate this really is in L1 and 2. There are nowadays. I think it goes down as far as League 2 now in the UK and the full detail is not done live (they watch back the footage the next working day). But both the clubs and bookmakers want this information, so it's calculated pretty accurately....
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Post by tommym9 on Mar 18, 2019 13:27:25 GMT
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Post by lastminutewinner on Mar 18, 2019 14:52:56 GMT
I am a lot happier now we have someone who knows where the net is, and who also seems to be someone who can create something out of nothing (so far) which is what we have been missing all last year.
It's nice to see a striker who, even when he doesn't score, makes sure the defenders know they have been in a game and ruffle some feathers.
You never can tell though, the odds were on our side to avoid relegation on that last game v Mansfield and we all know what happened.
As long as we are disciplined and patient, we can continue to pick up points in most games left.
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Post by curlywurly on Mar 18, 2019 17:01:38 GMT
<iframe style="position: absolute; width: 18.720000000000027px; height: 3.920000000000016px; z-index: -9999; border-style: none;left: 15px; top: -5px;" id="MoatPxIOPT0_51808322" scrolling="no" width="18.720000000000027" height="3.920000000000016"></iframe> <iframe style="position: absolute; width: 18.72px; height: 3.92px; z-index: -9999; border-style: none; left: 873px; top: -5px;" id="MoatPxIOPT0_52301447" scrolling="no" width="18.720000000000027" height="3.920000000000016"></iframe> <iframe style="position: absolute; width: 18.72px; height: 3.92px; z-index: -9999; border-style: none; left: 15px; top: 137px;" id="MoatPxIOPT0_93714412" scrolling="no" width="18.720000000000027" height="3.920000000000016"></iframe> <iframe style="position: absolute; width: 18.72px; height: 3.92px; z-index: -9999; border-style: none; left: 873px; top: 137px;" id="MoatPxIOPT0_20813157" scrolling="no" width="18.720000000000027" height="3.920000000000016"></iframe>
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Post by aghast on Mar 18, 2019 18:14:07 GMT
How can they possibly rate our chances of relegation at just 3% when we're just two points clear? I know we're in good form at the moment, but so is everyone else, it would seem. We could be back in or very, very close to the bottom 4 if we lose on Saturday. I think their model is putting too much weight on league position.
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Post by Antonio Fargas on Mar 18, 2019 20:08:19 GMT
How can they possibly rate our chances of relegation at just 3% when we're just two points clear? I know we're in good form at the moment, but so is everyone else, it would seem. We could be back in or very, very close to the bottom 4 if we lose on Saturday. I think their model is putting too much weight on league position. It's not done on league position, it's done on adjusted goals, shot-based expected goals, and non-shot expected goals. fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-our-club-soccer-predictions-work/
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Post by Antonio Fargas on Mar 18, 2019 20:34:44 GMT
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Post by socrates on Mar 18, 2019 20:39:22 GMT
I reckon that’s bollocks though. I’d say we’re at least in the top 490.
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Post by warehamgas on Mar 18, 2019 21:00:39 GMT
Yes and Bury are about 25 places above us! Mmm not too sure it’s a reliable measure of football clubs but an interesting statistical measure. Where are Melchester Rovers?😉 UTG!
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Post by aghast on Mar 18, 2019 22:35:56 GMT
How can they possibly rate our chances of relegation at just 3% when we're just two points clear? I know we're in good form at the moment, but so is everyone else, it would seem. We could be back in or very, very close to the bottom 4 if we lose on Saturday. I think their model is putting too much weight on league position. It's not done on league position, it's done on adjusted goals, shot-based expected goals, and non-shot expected goals. fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-our-club-soccer-predictions-work/"Non-shot expected goals are an estimate of how many goals a team “should” have scored based on non-shooting actions they took around the opposing team’s goal" I should have realised that......🤔
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Post by Wimborne Gas on Mar 18, 2019 22:44:06 GMT
And it's Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers FC We're by far the 509th best team The world has ever seen
Doesn't quite have the same ring to it!
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Post by socrates on Mar 19, 2019 0:38:16 GMT
Yes and Bury are about 25 places above us! Mmm not too sure it’s a reliable measure of football clubs but an interesting statistical measure. Where are Melchester Rovers?😉 UTG! Two places above Totterdown Hotspurs but just behind Princes Park Albion.
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