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Post by Qatar Gas on Apr 20, 2019 11:05:53 GMT
if we don't pick up anymore points this season then Bradford can't get anywhere near us, Walsall need three wins from Wycombe Away,Peterborough Home and Shrewsbury away, Southend need 2 wins and a draw from Burton Home,Rochdale Away and Sunderland Home and Wimbledon need two wins out of their three games against Luton Away, Wycombe at home and Bradford Away. Not only that but there are another six teams below us that would also have to get more points than us to finish above us and because of that we are proberbly safe. Although I will remain rather nervous until our league one status is assured!
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Post by daniel300380 on Apr 20, 2019 11:06:39 GMT
It really was an enourmous point in our season. Around the 75th minute we were back to 2 points off safety, with Ollie’s strike and a goal going in elsewhere the table now looks as it does this morning, very handsome! Make no mistake for a long time yesterday it wasn’t looking very pretty at all table wise, Monday would’ve/could’ve been a huge game. 3 points Monday, another step. 3 points on Monday and are virtually mathematical safe, unless there is a big swing in goal difference and every result went against us! We will know for definite before kicking off though, as Southend play at 1pm. Unless they win, 3 points would make us mathematically safe.
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Post by baggins on Apr 20, 2019 11:18:17 GMT
3 points Monday, another step. 3 points on Monday and are virtually mathematical safe, unless there is a big swing in goal difference and every result went against us! We will know for definite before kicking off though, as Southend play at 1pm. Unless they win, 3 points would make us mathematically safe. So, if Southend don't win, we do, we're safe?
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Post by Deleted on Apr 20, 2019 11:20:18 GMT
Anyone who has followed football for any length of time,children included would know that we can still get relegated. That said we are in a great position to make ourselves safe and doing it monday would be nice. Great goal by ollie clarke and he deserves credit for bouncing back from a difficult spell of poor form. Honestly, looking at the table and fixtures, it would take a really preposterous series of unlikely results to relegate us now. No one is even considering the possibility, except, of course, Gasheads. im worried that we will lose our next 2 games and go into the barnsley match knowing that only a strange mix of results could relegate us. Oh and their will be a party atmosphere at the barnsley game.
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Post by lpgas on Apr 20, 2019 12:39:25 GMT
I think we need another win on Monday, and a point at Fleetwood. Then we hope Barnsley are already up before we play then so there is a carnival atmosphere
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Post by baggins on Apr 20, 2019 12:42:30 GMT
I think we need another win on Monday, and a point at Fleetwood. Then we hope Barnsley are already up before we play then so there is a carnival atmosphere Win Monday and I don't think Fleetwood result will make any difference.
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Post by stapletongas on Apr 20, 2019 13:03:38 GMT
If results go right Monday, we can all breathe easy. No celebration, should never have got in this mess.
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Post by daniel300380 on Apr 20, 2019 13:03:55 GMT
3 points on Monday and are virtually mathematical safe, unless there is a big swing in goal difference and every result went against us! We will know for definite before kicking off though, as Southend play at 1pm. Unless they win, 3 points would make us mathematically safe. So, if Southend don't win, we do, we're safe? Think so as Southend and Walsall wouldn't be able to catch us then. With Plymouth playing Scunthorpe on the final day, they wouldn't both be able to finish above us.
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Post by daniel300380 on Apr 20, 2019 13:06:06 GMT
I think we need another win on Monday, and a point at Fleetwood. Then we hope Barnsley are already up before we play then so there is a carnival atmosphere A win on Monday and last 2 games will not matter IMO. Southend would need to win 3 out of 3 and make up the goal difference. Plus about 6 other games would have to go against us. Would be about 10,000/1 probally, if not more lol
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Post by Topper Gas on Apr 20, 2019 13:18:50 GMT
So, if Southend don't win, we do, we're safe? Think so as Southend and Walsall wouldn't be able to catch us then. With Plymouth playing Scunthorpe on the final day, they wouldn't both be able to finish above us. Surely we need to worry about Wimbledon, in 20th, not Southend, in 21st, as they can still get to 54 pts, as they play at Luton on Tuesday then I don't think it is possible that we can be mathematically safe even with a win on Monday. Although it would be very unlikely a team with 53 pts, effectively 54 pts with our GD, would ever get relegated, particularly with half dozen or so clubs between us and the bottom 4. I also feel it very unlikely Barnsley will already promoted when we play them as Sunderland and Pompey's game in hand is the game against each other so likely to be one winner.
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Post by daniel300380 on Apr 20, 2019 13:20:36 GMT
Think so as Southend and Walsall wouldn't be able to catch us then. With Plymouth playing Scunthorpe on the final day, they wouldn't both be able to finish above us. Surely we need to worry about Wimbledon, in 20th, not Southend, in 21st, as they can still get to 54 pts, as they play at Luton on Tuesday then I don't think it is possible that we can be mathematically safe even with a win on Monday. Although it would be very unlikely a team with 53 pts, effectively 54 pts with our GD, would ever get relegated, particularly with half dozen or so clubs between us and the bottom 4. I also feel it very unlikely Barnsley will already promoted when we play them as Sunderland and Pompey's game in hand is the game against each other so likely to be one winner. We would be safe anyway, so wouldn't need to worry about them. Actually take back what I said before. If we win on Monday we are mathematically safe. Even if every other result goes against us.
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Post by daniel300380 on Apr 20, 2019 13:30:10 GMT
3 points on Monday and are virtually mathematical safe, unless there is a big swing in goal difference and every result went against us! We will know for definite before kicking off though, as Southend play at 1pm. Unless they win, 3 points would make us mathematically safe. So, if Southend don't win, we do, we're safe? If we win we are safe anyway. Southends score does not matter.
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Post by daniel300380 on Apr 20, 2019 13:34:52 GMT
Surely we need to worry about Wimbledon, in 20th, not Southend, in 21st, as they can still get to 54 pts, as they play at Luton on Tuesday then I don't think it is possible that we can be mathematically safe even with a win on Monday. Although it would be very unlikely a team with 53 pts, effectively 54 pts with our GD, would ever get relegated, particularly with half dozen or so clubs between us and the bottom 4. I also feel it very unlikely Barnsley will already promoted when we play them as Sunderland and Pompey's game in hand is the game against each other so likely to be one winner. We would be safe anyway, so wouldn't need to worry about them. Actually take back what I said before. If we win on Monday we are mathematically safe. Even if every other result goes against us. Worked out out as if we win on Monday then Bradford and Walsall can't catch us. I know Bradford can't already. Would then be 5 points ahead of Rochdale and 6 ahead of Southend even if they win. Who play each other. So one will be guaranteed to finish below us. As I already said, Plymouth play Scunthorpe. Even if they both win on Monday they will still be 3 and 4 points behind. So atleast one would finish below us. So a win on Monday and we are guaranteed safety.
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Post by wertongas on Apr 20, 2019 13:37:46 GMT
As with the last two games the most important thing is not to lose, a win and we are safe but if you look at the other fixtures even with a draw we should still be 5 points clear of the relegation places which means teams nr the bottom would have to win their two remaining games to overtake us. I just looked at the fixture again, most of the teams below us are either playing each other or teams at the top between now and the end of the season and are bound to drop points, Accrington and Plymouth have got interesting fixtures and I reckon either one of those two could well go down.
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Post by Topper Gas on Apr 20, 2019 15:40:02 GMT
We would be safe anyway, so wouldn't need to worry about them. Actually take back what I said before. If we win on Monday we are mathematically safe. Even if every other result goes against us. Worked out out as if we win on Monday then Bradford and Walsall can't catch us. I know Bradford can't already. Would then be 5 points ahead of Rochdale and 6 ahead of Southend even if they win. Who play each other. So one will be guaranteed to finish below us. As I already said, Plymouth play Scunthorpe. Even if they both win on Monday they will still be 3 and 4 points behind. So atleast one would finish below us. So a win on Monday and we are guaranteed safety. Why are you still totally ignoring Wimbledon in 21st and what does Plymouth having to play Scunthorpe have to do with the bigger relegation picture, when both teams can still get to 53/54 points if they draw that game? It's impossible for us to be mathematically safe tomorrow, although we could well be on Tuesday night if we beat Rochdale.
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Post by daniel300380 on Apr 20, 2019 16:30:03 GMT
Worked out out as if we win on Monday then Bradford and Walsall can't catch us. I know Bradford can't already. Would then be 5 points ahead of Rochdale and 6 ahead of Southend even if they win. Who play each other. So one will be guaranteed to finish below us. As I already said, Plymouth play Scunthorpe. Even if they both win on Monday they will still be 3 and 4 points behind. So atleast one would finish below us. So a win on Monday and we are guaranteed safety. Why are you still totally ignoring Wimbledon in 21st and what does Plymouth having to play Scunthorpe have to do with the bigger relegation picture, when both teams can still get to 53/54 points if they draw that game? It's impossible for us to be mathematically safe tomorrow, although we could well be on Tuesday night if we beat Rochdale. If we win we are safe. AFC don't come into it!! If 4 teams are guaranteed to finish below us we are safe. I didn't mention AFC as they are not involved they could still finish above us if we win!! I mentioned the others as they are involved. Read it again. Think about it, then you might get it.
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Post by daniel300380 on Apr 20, 2019 16:32:46 GMT
We would be safe anyway, so wouldn't need to worry about them. Actually take back what I said before. If we win on Monday we are mathematically safe. Even if every other result goes against us. Worked out out as if we win on Monday then Bradford and Walsall can't catch us. I know Bradford can't already. Would then be 5 points ahead of Rochdale and 6 ahead of Southend even if they win. Who play each other. So one will be guaranteed to finish below us. As I already said, Plymouth play Scunthorpe. Even if they both win on Monday they will still be 3 and 4 points behind. So atleast one would finish below us. So a win on Monday and we are guaranteed safety. Might be counting the goal difference, but have you seen how many Scunthorpe are behind us. That won't make that up with 2 wins.
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Post by Antonio Fargas on Apr 20, 2019 17:12:58 GMT
Worked out out as if we win on Monday then Bradford and Walsall can't catch us. I know Bradford can't already. Would then be 5 points ahead of Rochdale and 6 ahead of Southend even if they win. Who play each other. So one will be guaranteed to finish below us. As I already said, Plymouth play Scunthorpe. Even if they both win on Monday they will still be 3 and 4 points behind. So atleast one would finish below us. So a win on Monday and we are guaranteed safety. Might be counting the goal difference, but have you seen how many Scunthorpe are behind us. That won't make that up with 2 wins. Yeah, Wimbledon have to play Wycombe so only one of those teams can get to 54. Scunthorpe and Accrington play Plymouth, so only two of those teams can get to 54. Southend, Walsall and Bradford can't get there. So even if everything goes as badly as it can it will look something like this: Scunthorpe 55 Accrington 54 Wycombe 54 Plymouth 53 Wimbledon 52 Southend Walsall Bradford And that's with all the mental results like Accrington beating Portsmouth and Doncaster, Plymouth beating Barnsley, Wimbledon beating Luton, and Scunthorpe beating Charlton. It's just not gonna happen.
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Post by Hudson1883 on Apr 20, 2019 17:21:24 GMT
Accy looking absolutely dreadful, even before their keeper was sent off. Luton should stroll this now. Accy, Plymouth & others looking right over their shoulders. Win Monday and the last two rounds of games this season will be a superb watch.
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Post by Colyton Gas on Apr 20, 2019 18:19:30 GMT
Rochdale have the worst defence and GD in the division so think we'll win 34-0. Remember Ellis scoring two crackers against them at the Mem.Matty Lund played against us that day.
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