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Post by Mark Ash on Oct 23, 2014 14:31:18 GMT
I don't normally go to away games, so I could be in for a long wait until our next game at the Mem. This has led me to calculate that I have a 40% chance of seeing the next home date brought forward by a week.
I estimate that Rovers have a 4/5 chance of getting past Dorchester, even if it takes a replay. There is a 1/2 chance of being drawn at home in the 1st Round Proper. 4/5 x 1/2 = 4/10, or 40%.
Q. How bored am I?
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Post by Rod1883 on Oct 23, 2014 14:39:53 GMT
I'd say.....about 40%
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Post by Deleted on Oct 23, 2014 14:46:55 GMT
Dorchester has probably not been mentioned in such a mathematical equation since Puritanism and the English civil war....
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40%
Oct 23, 2014 15:56:38 GMT
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Post by gaseous on Oct 23, 2014 15:56:38 GMT
I'd say about half a chance!
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40%
Oct 23, 2014 16:11:55 GMT
Post by Parrot on Oct 23, 2014 16:11:55 GMT
40% - Sounds like my my bloody tax bill
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Post by Deleted on Oct 23, 2014 16:22:11 GMT
40% - Sounds like my my bloody tax bill it also sounds like the strength of lager they drink in Glasgow....
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40%
Oct 23, 2014 17:38:47 GMT
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Post by socrates on Oct 23, 2014 17:38:47 GMT
I'd say its about our chance of getting in the play offs with our current squad too.
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Post by curlywurly on Oct 23, 2014 18:58:01 GMT
Only 3 of 27 outcomes (1in9) would have sent Rovers down on the last day of last season
Oh f**k!
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40%
Oct 23, 2014 19:07:34 GMT
Post by Mark Ash on Oct 23, 2014 19:07:34 GMT
Dorchester has probably not been mentioned in such a mathematical equation since Puritanism and the English civil war.... You interest me strangely...
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40%
Oct 23, 2014 19:10:07 GMT
Post by Mark Ash on Oct 23, 2014 19:10:07 GMT
Only 3 of 27 outcomes (1in9) would have sent Rovers down on the last day of last season Oh flip! Sadly true... Unless you also factor in the previous seasons of getting away with it. As someone said on here, re relegation, if you keep on sticking it into the lion's mouth, it's bound to get bitten off eventually.
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40%
Oct 23, 2014 19:45:09 GMT
Post by curlywurly on Oct 23, 2014 19:45:09 GMT
I don't normally go to away games, so I could be in for a long wait until our next game at the Mem. This has led me to calculate that I have a 40% chance of seeing the next home date brought forward by a week. I estimate that Rovers have a 4/5 chance of getting past Dorchester, even if it takes a replay. There is a 1/2 chance of being drawn at home in the 1st Round Proper. 4/5 x 1/2 = 4/10, or 40%. Q. How bored am I? However, as you point out, there is a chance of a replay...........
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40%
Oct 23, 2014 19:51:15 GMT
Post by Mark Ash on Oct 23, 2014 19:51:15 GMT
I'd say about half a chance! 50-50, to overcome humble Dorchester, a team buried in the bowels of football's pyramid? Come now, sir, I hardly find it credible that a team consisting of the might of Bristol Rovers could ever seriously find itself discommoded by fellows who (and I bless them for it, I really do) play simply for the joys of companionship? Indeed, I shall go further: I doubt very much that any team, in the history of the Football Association's Challenge Cup, since its very inception in 1872, could have been so foolish as to allow itself to be overcome by opposition located basely on an inferior rung of the infallible English leagues. Believe it, sir: the Pirates shall prevail!
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40%
Oct 23, 2014 19:52:22 GMT
Post by Mark Ash on Oct 23, 2014 19:52:22 GMT
I don't normally go to away games, so I could be in for a long wait until our next game at the Mem. This has led me to calculate that I have a 40% chance of seeing the next home date brought forward by a week. I estimate that Rovers have a 4/5 chance of getting past Dorchester, even if it takes a replay. There is a 1/2 chance of being drawn at home in the 1st Round Proper. 4/5 x 1/2 = 4/10, or 40%. Q. How bored am I? However, as you point out, there is a chance of a replay........... Alas, I can make very few evening games, owing to work.
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40%
Oct 23, 2014 20:04:38 GMT
Post by curlywurly on Oct 23, 2014 20:04:38 GMT
However, as you point out, there is a chance of a replay........... Alas, I can make very few evening games, owing to work. A great shame, but what odds Rovers getting through, but the game being shifted to Friday night!!!!
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40%
Oct 23, 2014 20:07:46 GMT
Post by Mark Ash on Oct 23, 2014 20:07:46 GMT
Alas, I can make very few evening games, owing to work. A great shame, but what odds Rovers getting through, but the game being shifted to Friday night!!!! WHAT!!! To avoid a Bristolian clash, with the tweety robins at home too, you mean?
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40%
Oct 23, 2014 20:41:07 GMT
Post by curlywurly on Oct 23, 2014 20:41:07 GMT
A great shame, but what odds Rovers getting through, but the game being shifted to Friday night!!!! WHAT!!! To avoid a Bristolian clash, with the tweety robins at home too, you mean? Of course this raises another possibility, that doesn't strictly meet your criteria, but means you could watch the away game in Bristol, i.e. Rovers being drawn to City at Ashton Gate. Am I over-thinking this? ??
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Post by Mark Ash on Oct 23, 2014 20:46:29 GMT
WHAT!!! To avoid a Bristolian clash, with the tweety robins at home too, you mean? Of course this raises another possibility, that doesn't strictly meet your criteria, but means you could watch the away game in Bristol, i.e. Rovers being drawn to City at Ashton Gate. Am I over-thinking this? ?? I would have to go to that. Whatever the timing.
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40%
Oct 27, 2014 7:27:11 GMT
Post by Mark Ash on Oct 27, 2014 7:27:11 GMT
So my chance has now become 50%. We await the draw with bated breath...
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40%
Oct 27, 2014 16:59:36 GMT
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Post by daniel300380 on Oct 27, 2014 16:59:36 GMT
So my chance has now become 50%. We await the draw with bated breath... Prob just under 50%. We could have bad weather and the game could be called off lol.
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40%
Oct 27, 2014 18:08:28 GMT
Post by Mark Ash on Oct 27, 2014 18:08:28 GMT
Or as Curly Wurly hinted, we could clash with City playing at home and get shifted from the Saturday to a Friday night. Doh! We'll soon find out.
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