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Post by outsidehitter30 on Jan 27, 2021 13:41:17 GMT
As we are just about to pass the halfway point on the season (in terms of games to be played) It's clear play-offs is very unlikely so the next important thing is to secure our League 1 Status.
we have 23 points on the board (from 22 games) and require another 29 points for Safety. The bottom of league one is quite tight and the bottom 8 are slightly adrift of the rest of the League. We are a very goal shy side this season and it looks like it could be quite nip & tuck and could go to the final game. We have a 7 games that could be counted as "6-pionters" and it will be quite important to target these games starting with Rochdale this Saturday. Where do you see us getting the points?
January
(H) - Rochdale
February
(A) - Accrington Stanley
(A) - Fleetwood
(H) - Oxford
(H) - Swindon
(H) - Portsmouth
(A) - Gillingham
(H) - Wigan
(H) - Shrewsbury
March
(A) - Burton
(A) - Hull
(H) - Accrington Stanley
(H) - AFC Wimbledon
(A) - Charlton
(A) - Plymouth
(H) - Swindon
(H) - Sunderland
April
(A) - Ipswich
(H) - Doncaster
(A) - Northampton
(H) - Lincoln
(H) - MK Dons
(A) - Portsmouth
May
(H) - Crewe
(A) - Blackpool
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Post by outsidehitter30 on Jan 27, 2021 13:53:42 GMT
January (H) - Rochdale - * W (3) - (1-2) Loss (-3)February (A) - Accrington Stanley - L - (6-1) Loss (0)(A) - Fleetwood - L - D - (0-0) Draw  (+1) (H) - Oxford - D (1) - L - (0-2) Loss (-3)(H) - Swindon - * W (3)(H) - Portsmouth - D (1) - W - (3-1) Win  (+2)(A) - Gillingham - L - L - (2-0) Loss (0) (H) - Wigan - * W (3) - L - (1-2) Loss (0)(H) - Shrewsbury - * D (1) - W - (2-1) Win (+2)March (A) - Burton - * W (3) - L (1-0) - Loss (-3)(A) - Hull - L (1-0) - Loss (0) (H) - Accrington Stanley - L (H) - AFC Wimbledon - * - W (3) (A) - Charlton - L (A) - Plymouth - D - (1) (H) - Swindon - * W (3) (H) - Sunderland - D (1) April (A) - Ipswich - L (H) - Doncaster - D (1) (A) - Northampton - * - W (3) (H) - Lincoln - D (1) (H) - MK Dons - D (1) (A) - Portsmouth - L May (H) - Crewe - W (3) (A) - Blackpool - D (1) * = 6 PointerPrediction Total = 31 points Match by Match Update = 7 Points Behind Forecast (Updated 08/03/2021) |
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Post by warehamgas on Jan 27, 2021 13:54:35 GMT
Thanks outsidehitter, shows February looks like a crucial month. 6 homes and 3 always before end of Feb, so I’d say 4 wins and 2 draws about 13/14 points needed by 1st March. Those games against the 4 below us and Rochdale will be real 6-pointers.
Ever hopeful.
UTG!
edit: I’ve seen you’ve gone just below me until 1st March, 12 points. So around about the same. I’d be happy, I think. But then you see what we did last night at one of the best teams and I can get more optimistic. Time will tell, as ever.
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Post by chewbacca on Jan 27, 2021 14:01:25 GMT
Ten consecutive weeks of Saturday - Tuesday - Saturday with 21 games in 70 days is utterly insane.
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Post by daniel300380 on Jan 27, 2021 14:13:23 GMT
Ten consecutive weeks of Saturday - Tuesday - Saturday with 21 games in 70 days is utterly insane. Could have done with the money for winning the cup games. But I’m kinda glad we went out of both. Imagine trying to fit in even more games. Plus we might still get some cancelled due to Covid. |
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Post by outsidehitter30 on Jan 27, 2021 14:37:23 GMT
Ten consecutive weeks of Saturday - Tuesday - Saturday with 21 games in 70 days is utterly insane. When you say it like that it is quite stark how big the task is! Those with a cup run could fade quite badly too & we could see quite a number of unexpected results! |
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Post by chewbacca on Jan 27, 2021 14:43:06 GMT
Ten consecutive weeks of Saturday - Tuesday - Saturday with 21 games in 70 days is utterly insane. When you say it like that it is quite stark how big the task is! Those with a cup run could fade quite badly too & we could see quite a number of unexpected results! A game every 3.33 days for two and a half months. Utterly insane. |
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Post by outsidehitter30 on Jan 27, 2021 14:49:31 GMT
When you say it like that it is quite stark how big the task is! Those with a cup run could fade quite badly too & we could see quite a number of unexpected results! A game every 3.33 days for two and a half months. Utterly insane. The other point which compounds this number of games is that this is the first time we have had a squad number of players cap! If you get a bad run of injury's which is more likely as players won't be doing a full recovery programme. You could see a situation coming for some clubs could struggling to field a side at points during the rest of the season. |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 27, 2021 14:51:33 GMT
When you say it like that it is quite stark how big the task is! Those with a cup run could fade quite badly too & we could see quite a number of unexpected results! A game every 3.33 days for two and a half months. Utterly insane. True. Emphasises the need to manage injury and fatigue very carefully to try and avoid a depleted squad. Sadly teams that don't will see their injury situation worsen into a downward spiral of more and more injuries as they rely on fewer players. Avoiding red cards and yellow card suspensions would also serve us well. |
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Post by rememberhalifax on Jan 27, 2021 16:25:28 GMT
I see us getting points from every game we play!
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Post by lpgas1 on Jan 27, 2021 16:26:15 GMT
January
(H) - Rochdale D
February
(A) - Accrington Stanley L
(A) - Fleetwood D
(H) - Oxford D
(H) - Swindon W
(H) - Portsmouth L
(A) - Gillingham L
(H) - Wigan W
(H) - Shrewsbury D
March
(A) - Burton W
(A) - Hull L
(H) - Accrington Stanley D
(H) - AFC Wimbledon W
(A) - Charlton D
(A) - Plymouth D
(H) - Sunderland L
April
(A) - Ipswitch L
(H) - Doncaster L
(A) - Northampton W
(H) - Lincoln L
(H) - MK Dons W
(A) - Portsmouth L
May
(H) - Crewe W
(A) - Blackpool L
27 Points Phew!
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Post by outsidehitter30 on Jan 30, 2021 17:59:19 GMT
Where are the points coming from? 29/30 Required! We need Daly fit plus another striker before the window closes
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Post by Rod1883 on Jan 30, 2021 18:05:46 GMT
No race to league safety - it's a lazy jog to relegation as exemplified by our (non) captain Ehmer every game.
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Post by Topper Gas on Jan 30, 2021 18:30:14 GMT
A game every 3.33 days for two and a half months. Utterly insane. True. Emphasises the need to manage injury and fatigue very carefully to try and avoid a depleted squad. Sadly teams that don't will see their injury situation worsen into a downward spiral of more and more injuries as they rely on fewer players. Avoiding red cards and yellow card suspensions would also serve us well. You can guarantee if we play a side who've only got a reserve goalie on the bench then they'll still beat us! |
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Post by wilmslowgas on Jan 30, 2021 18:52:13 GMT
Not a good start to our race to safety. A home game lost to fellow strugglers Rochdale is a disastrous result. No excuses, this was appalling and everybody involved with the playing side at the club should be bitterly upset at this outcome.
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Post by dmacca65 on Jan 30, 2021 19:11:44 GMT
Next up Accrington & Fleetwood away, what can we realistically expect from these two? As I have previously posted forget anything other than a relegation battle with possible relegation, next step accept where you are and what you have and do something about it, sign the entire Accrington squad and manager!
Does this mean a nailed on victory against AS? Well I hope so but as usual if it happens it will more than likely end up an abject performance and loss to Fleetwood, never mind December being a realistic sign of where you stand in the table, were now staring down the barrel of February and it doesn't look good.
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Post by outsidehitter30 on Feb 6, 2021 17:24:10 GMT
Can't see where the wins are coming from! Need goals! Oxford & Swindon next & frankly need four points minimum from the next two games!
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Post by lastminutewinner on Feb 6, 2021 17:38:41 GMT
Cant really argue about a clean sheet following conceding 6 on Tuesday, but when a team comes along playing as poorly as Fleetwood did, you have to think 3 points were there for the taking.
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Post by lympstonegas on Feb 8, 2021 8:14:16 GMT
January (H) - Rochdale - * W (3) - (1-2) Loss (-3)February (A) - Accrington Stanley - L - (6-1) Loss (-3)(A) - Fleetwood - L - D - (0-0) Draw (+1)(H) - Oxford - D (1) (H) - Swindon - * W (3) (H) - Portsmouth - D (1) (A) - Gillingham - L (H) - Wigan - * W (3) (H) - Shrewsbury - * D (1) March (A) - Burton - * W (3) (A) - Hull - - L (H) - Accrington Stanley - L (H) - AFC Wimbledon - * - W (3) (A) - Charlton - L (A) - Plymouth - D - (1) (H) - Sunderland - D (1) April (A) - Ipswitch - L (H) - Doncaster - D (1) (A) - Northampton - D (1) (H) - Lincoln - D (1) (H) - MK Dons - * (3) (A) - Portsmouth - L May (H) - Crewe - W (3) (A) - Blackpool - D (1) * = 6-pointer Prediction Total = 30 points Match by Match Update = 2 Points Behind Forecast (Updated 06/02/2021) Can’t see 10 wins there so we are going to have to rely on winning the 6 pointers |
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Post by outsidehitter30 on Feb 8, 2021 8:19:26 GMT
January (H) - Rochdale - * W (3) - (1-2) Loss (-3)February (A) - Accrington Stanley - L - (6-1) Loss (-3)(A) - Fleetwood - L - D - (0-0) Draw (+1)(H) - Oxford - D (1) (H) - Swindon - * W (3) (H) - Portsmouth - D (1) (A) - Gillingham - L (H) - Wigan - * W (3) (H) - Shrewsbury - * D (1) March (A) - Burton - * W (3) (A) - Hull - - L (H) - Accrington Stanley - L (H) - AFC Wimbledon - * - W (3) (A) - Charlton - L (A) - Plymouth - D - (1) (H) - Sunderland - D (1) April (A) - Ipswitch - L (H) - Doncaster - D (1) (A) - Northampton - D (1) (H) - Lincoln - D (1) (H) - MK Dons - * (3) (A) - Portsmouth - L May (H) - Crewe - W (3) (A) - Blackpool - D (1) * = 6-pointer Prediction Total = 30 points Match by Match Update = 2 Points Behind Forecast (Updated 06/02/2021) Can’t see 10 wins there so we are going to have to rely on winning the 6 pointers Big Worry really! That's why the Rochdale defeat was so bad. On the overall impact on the season a much bigger loss than the 6-1 Accrington defeat. |
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(+1) 
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