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Post by Goose on Feb 20, 2022 20:24:33 GMT
I reckon 34
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Post by gasandelectricity on Feb 20, 2022 20:52:21 GMT
36
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pirate
Forum Legend
Posts: 18,751
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Post by pirate on Feb 20, 2022 21:09:29 GMT
35
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Post by aghast on Feb 20, 2022 22:12:04 GMT
You'd also better ask how many points all those above us will get, since it's not in our control.
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Post by Gas Go Marching In on Feb 20, 2022 22:12:37 GMT
I think the options are too high. To put into perspective FGR had 34 points (the lower end of your bar) after their first 16 games this season. 29 points would have been enough for playoffs last season. 35 points last season was enough to send Bolton up! I think autos isn't impossible but think we will be in the playoffs at 46 games. I'll go for 32 points.
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Post by xenongas on Feb 21, 2022 10:33:26 GMT
With my feet firmly on the ground I think 28 points is reasonable. 8W 4D 4L. That's 1.75ppg so if anything an underestimate as we've been above that for the last 6 to 10 games. Should be aiming for 2ppg to really push on.
Anyway, 28 points will get us right in the mix for the final 2 playoff spots.
But I am full of hope for more. Keeping it tight at the back is imperative and will upgrade a couple of those Ls. We've got plenty of teams above us to play so if we get there it is fully deserved. Hitting form at the right time.
Beat an out of form orient on Tuesday and the mem will be buzzing on Saturday. I'm looking forward to it.
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Post by Tilly's Thighs on Feb 21, 2022 12:13:00 GMT
I'm going for 34 - it's doable!
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Post by justin blue on Feb 21, 2022 13:16:56 GMT
With my feet firmly on the ground I think 28 points is reasonable. 8W 4D 4L. That's 1.75ppg so if anything an underestimate as we've been above that for the last 6 to 10 games. Should be aiming for 2ppg to really push on. Anyway, 28 points will get us right in the mix for the final 2 playoff spots. But I am full of hope for more. Keeping it tight at the back is imperative and will upgrade a couple of those Ls. We've got plenty of teams above us to play so if we get there it is fully deserved. Hitting form at the right time. Beat an out of form orient on Tuesday and the mem will be buzzing on Saturday. I'm looking forward to it. I reckon 27 or 28 allowing for a couple of wobbles 27 would give us 71 which has been enough in the past or 28 for 72 which is usually a playoff place.
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Post by GasAttacK on Feb 21, 2022 13:25:00 GMT
Every year differs slightly but 35 more points (79) would be enough for automatic promotion based on last season's final table and 29 more points (73) would see you in the play off's.
In 2018/19, 79 points was again the total for 3rd place MK Dons and Newport finished 7th on 71.
So I think we probably need a minimum of 7 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats (26 Points) to have any chance of a top 7 finish. That should see us sneak in, just. Based on recent performances that target looks very realistic. To have any chance of automatic promotion we'd need a minimum of 10 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats (34 Points). That's a tall order, even if we can continue our improved form over the remaining games.
Autos aren't out of the question but I think play off's are a more realistic target and on current form 26 points from 16 games certainly looks very achievable.
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Post by baggins on Feb 21, 2022 13:25:38 GMT
I'm going for 34 - it's doable! 34D. My favourite.
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Post by socrates on Feb 21, 2022 13:32:27 GMT
32 points would be bloody good going but I think it’s achievable. We haven’t even managed 2 points per game over our last very good run of form over the last 12 games we’ve got 21 points so I think we’re capable of bettering that but only just.
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Post by oliverhelmet on Feb 21, 2022 13:47:24 GMT
37 prime number 12 wins 1 draw 3 losses
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Kipper
Reserve Team
Posts: 438
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Post by Kipper on Feb 21, 2022 14:24:01 GMT
Many Gasheads seem to be under the illusion that the promotion will automatically follow if the club does make the playoffs. The playoffs are nerve-racking and the form sides often fall by the wayside!!
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Post by richhertford on Feb 21, 2022 14:39:00 GMT
Many Gasheads seem to be under the illusion that the promotion will automatically follow if the club does make the playoffs. The playoffs are nerve-racking and the form sides often fall by the wayside!! I think you will find our management set up is far too professional to think like that. That is all that really matters. Self doubt not present in this team. Aiming high and winning is now becoming a habit. Strap ourselves in. One hell of a ride awaits.👍👍
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Post by xenongas on Feb 21, 2022 14:52:35 GMT
Many Gasheads seem to be under the illusion that the promotion will automatically follow if the club does make the playoffs. The playoffs are nerve-racking and the form sides often fall by the wayside!! Well you definitely can't get promoted if you don't finish 7th. I think that's the discussion here.
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Post by justin blue on Feb 21, 2022 14:54:55 GMT
Many Gasheads seem to be under the illusion that the promotion will automatically follow if the club does make the playoffs. The playoffs are nerve-racking and the form sides often fall by the wayside!! Being in the playoffs is like being in a raffle the semis are slightly more possible to predict, but the final is all about luck and bottle in equal measure.
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Post by percy on Feb 21, 2022 15:01:08 GMT
Many Gasheads seem to be under the illusion that the promotion will automatically follow if the club does make the playoffs. The playoffs are nerve-racking and the form sides often fall by the wayside!! Being in the playoffs is like being in a raffle the semis are slightly more possible to predict, but the final is all about luck and bottle in equal measure. Yeah, best way to go up but a painful ride! What's our history? Port Vale (L) final Huddersfield (L) final Northampton (L) semi Shrewsbury (W) PROMOTED Grimsby (W) PROMOTED
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Post by SleepyGas on Feb 21, 2022 15:05:45 GMT
Being in the playoffs is like being in a raffle the semis are slightly more possible to predict, but the final is all about luck and bottle in equal measure. Yeah, best way to go up but a painful ride! What's our history? Port Vale (L) final Huddersfield (L) final Northampton (L) semi Shrewsbury (W) PROMOTED Grimsby (W) PROMOTED I'm not having that going up via the play-offs is somehow better than the automatics. Talk to me about Browner's late winner to clinch automatics - or beating City in our last home game of the season to win promotion. Sure winning the play-offs is great too - but INCREDIBLY nerve racking.
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Post by percy on Feb 21, 2022 15:10:51 GMT
Yeah, best way to go up but a painful ride! What's our history? Port Vale (L) final Huddersfield (L) final Northampton (L) semi Shrewsbury (W) PROMOTED Grimsby (W) PROMOTED I'm not having that going up via the play-offs is somehow better than the automatics. Talk to me about Browner's late winner to clinch automatics - or beating City in our last home game of the season to win promotion. Sure winning the play-offs is great too - but INCREDIBLY nerve racking. Yeah that's fair! The year we won promotion against City, pretty sure they got promoted on a day when they didnt even play though. That's got to be weird.
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Post by Rod1883 on Feb 21, 2022 15:42:34 GMT
It's going to be tough We have 8 games in the next four weeks - Tues/Sat until 19th March, that will take its toll. Then it settles down to just Saturdays, apart from the Easter weekend, but it's a tough set of games. I've gone for a probably optimistic 27pts:
Feb 22nd - A - L Orient - 3pts 26th - H - Exeter - 1pt
Mar 01st - H - Barrow - 3pts 05th - A - Newport - 1pt 08th - A - Crawley - 1pt 12th - H - Harrogate - 3pts 15th - H - Colchester - 3pts 19th - A - Northampton - 0pts 26th - A - Carlisle - 1pt
Apr 02nd - H - Bradford - 3pts 09th - A - Tranmere - 0pts 15th - H - Salford - 1pt 18th - A - Port Vale - 0pts 23rd - H - Forest Green - 1pt 30th - A - Rochdale - 3pts
May 07th - H - Scunthorpe - 3pts
W-7, D-6, L-3 Total 27pts
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