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Post by stapletongas on May 3, 2016 21:03:37 GMT
The real gutter will be Oxford or Stanley dropping points...and us dropping points too!
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Post by Topper Gas on May 3, 2016 21:11:57 GMT
The real gutter will be Oxford or Stanley dropping points...and us dropping points too! You'd have thought the chances of that happening are slim though? An interesting article in today's B Post says only 6 teams in 20 years have done what Rovers are hoping to achieve and it seems only one team has ever slipped up at home, Cheltenham allowing Mansfield to slip past them in 2001/2 when they lost to the then Champions Plymouth. Although though there's no suggestion there has ever been 3 clubs involved in the final day battle for promotion.
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Post by mumbles on May 3, 2016 21:12:34 GMT
So long as we win this weekend I'll be happy. If one or both of the others slip up and we make the autos then happy days. If not then we go into the playoffs on great form.
The one scenario I dread is that one of Oxford or Stanley drop points and we are not able to capitalise. Please god this doesn't happen.
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MikeS
Youth Team
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Post by MikeS on May 3, 2016 21:36:54 GMT
The real gutter will be Oxford or Stanley dropping points...and us dropping points too! You'd have thought the chances of that happening are slim though? An interesting article in today's B Post says only 6 teams in 20 years have done what Rovers are hoping to achieve and it seems only one team has ever slipped up at home, Cheltenham allowing Mansfield to slip past them in 2001/2 when they lost to the then Champions Plymouth. Although though there's no suggestion there has ever been 3 clubs involved in the final day battle for promotion. This statistic actually makes me think that we've got a good chance. To start with it's 6 teams in 20 years from league 2, so in almost a third of seasons somebody overtakes a team on the last day to get promotion. Also, I'm guessing that in a fair few seasons it's all done and dusted by the last day anyway. Finally, as already pointed out, in most seasons there probably aren't two teams that can be caught. And as a bonus, we only need one of them to draw, it's not like we need them to lose. I think that the odds of one slipping up are at least 50/50 based on history. p.s. It's going to be Oxford who slip up...
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Post by mehewmagic on May 3, 2016 21:52:48 GMT
Huh
does no-one remember 2014?
There were something like 24 permutations and less than a third would see us relegated.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 3, 2016 22:11:36 GMT
Huh does no-one remember 2014? There were something like 24 permutations and less than a third would see us relegated. There were 27 combinations, only one of which would see us relegated.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 3, 2016 22:30:40 GMT
Although I don't do predictions I have a feeling that one of the sides above us will slip up. My worry is Dagenham have won their last two including an impressive win against Plymouth, so I just hope we don't slip up too.
I was for a second before realising they beat an awful Crawley side and got battered by Plymouth who have had some dodgy home form, plus they are relegated because they are like we were in 2014....sh**e.
I was worried about York more than the D&R game as I have witnessed more bad away games than home this season, now we have overcome this obstacle I think we will do all we can and win on Saturday.
As for Accrington and Oxford, both should win but like Plymouth, Oxford have had some iffy home defeats although Wycombe cannot score. Accrington sound like they may have a decent home gate which may add to the pressure against an improving and resilient Stevenage side who have taken 4 points from us.
A nice early goal if attack from the off will send a message to the sides above and increase the pressure, hopefully at least one of them will crack and open the door.
If things don't go as we want then we have a second bite of the cherry in the play offs, so all will not be lost, unfortunately all the other play off contenders can afford to rest players whereas we cannot.
I would have been happy with consolidation in the league this season, so this is a massive bonus for me and im sure most gasheads.
Lets enjoy the ride, the lads have given us a bloody good season and a world away from the last time we were in this league.
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Post by Strange Gas on May 4, 2016 7:27:01 GMT
Huh does no-one remember 2014? There were something like 24 permutations and less than a third would see us relegated. There were 27 combinations, only one of which would see us relegated. This time I think there are also 27 combinations but I think a few more than 1 will see us promoted. I make it 4. The problem is we need to win in all scenarios: WDD, WDL, WLD, WLL. If you assume all outcomes equally likely, we have a really decent chance. That why I say we gonna do it! Optimistic I know but why not?
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Post by bluecamel on May 4, 2016 7:34:43 GMT
Play offs and anyone's guess
Biggest fear, Oxford lose and we draw and they go up on goal difference.
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Post by oddsongas on May 4, 2016 7:45:03 GMT
There were 27 combinations, only one of which would see us relegated. This time I think there are also 27 combinations but I think a few more than 1 will see us promoted. I make it 4. The problem is we need to win in all scenarios: WDD, WDL, WLD, WLL. If you assume all outcomes equally likely, we have a really decent chance. That why I say we gonna do it! Optimistic I know but why not? Also WLW WDW WWL WWD?
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Post by Strange Gas on May 4, 2016 7:51:07 GMT
This time I think there are also 27 combinations but I think a few more than 1 will see us promoted. I make it 4. The problem is we need to win in all scenarios: WDD, WDL, WLD, WLL. If you assume all outcomes equally likely, we have a really decent chance. That why I say we gonna do it! Optimistic I know but why not? Also WLW WDW WWL WWD? Yep, good point, that's 8 then! It gets better. Anymore?
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Post by Topper Gas on May 4, 2016 7:52:58 GMT
There were 27 combinations, only one of which would see us relegated. This time I think there are also 27 combinations but I think a few more than 1 will see us promoted. I make it 4. The problem is we need to win in all scenarios: WDD, WDL, WLD, WLL. If you assume all outcomes equally likely, we have a really decent chance. That why I say we gonna do it! Optimistic I know but why not? I thught we had a better cahnce on Saturday TBH with both teams playing away, history suggests teams playing at home rarely slip up on the final day, I think it's now down to lady lucy smiling on us again perhaps we need the ref from our Dover match at Accrington or Oxford on Saturday?
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Post by garystash on May 4, 2016 10:17:05 GMT
Yep, good point, that's 8 then! It gets better. Anymore? And if you say us winning is a given, there are only 9 permutations instead of 27 - 8 of which see us promoted!
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Post by yattongas on May 4, 2016 11:38:15 GMT
Think it'll be similar to last season . We'll Get a couple of early goals .... Crowd will go mad then news will come in about half hr in Oxford and Accy are both winning 1-0. Second half we'll go on to batter D&G 6-0 but others both win 2-0 leaving things a bit flat .
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 4, 2016 11:52:51 GMT
Meh, we can all say on paper its going to be a piece of pish for the other two sides, but we all know if Wycombe or Stevenage pick up an incredibly lucky goal in the first half, or hold them for 70 minutes, then the jitters will well and truly settle in for Oxford or Accy. Won't be like a normal game for them then.
The important thing is that we do well and Wycombe/Stevenage don't collapse within the first 30 minutes.
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Post by garystash on May 4, 2016 11:59:51 GMT
Meh, we can all say on paper its going to be a piece of pish for the other two sides, but we all know if Wycombe or Stevenage pick up an incredibly lucky goal in the first half, or hold them for 70 minutes, then the jitters will well and truly settle in for Oxford or Accy. Won't be like a normal game for them then. The important thing is that we do well and Wycombe/Stevenage don't collapse within the first 30 minutes. Yep, anything could happen. They could get a man sent off when at 0-0, and be left needing to win the game with 10 men.
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Post by lympstonegas on May 4, 2016 13:03:40 GMT
As far I can see it for this weekend we need we need two variables to go our way, us to win and ether one of the others to slip up. Let's not forget we could all slip up, I'd be pretty annoyed we threw that chance away. That is the one outcome that would hurt,if we win and end up in the playoffs so be it,if we are in the playoffs because we fail to win and a win would have took us up,then we could be on a downer going into the game with the Wombles. But we shall win,UTG. People thought that could be the case last season after Dover and then alfreton - the opposite happened we went from strength to strength and battered The Gumps in the semis
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 4, 2016 13:36:17 GMT
That is the one outcome that would hurt,if we win and end up in the playoffs so be it,if we are in the playoffs because we fail to win and a win would have took us up,then we could be on a downer going into the game with the Wombles. But we shall win,UTG. People thought that could be the case last season after Dover and then alfreton - the opposite happened we went from strength to strength and battered The Gumps in the semis True,just a negative thought amongst all the thoughts i have been having about saturday,most are positive.
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Post by lpgas on May 4, 2016 13:53:20 GMT
Wycombe will play a load of kids and get tonked. Stevenage are sh**e. Play offs for me, and we lose to Pompey in the final
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Post by supergas on May 4, 2016 14:01:54 GMT
Wycombe will play a load of kids and get tonked. Stevenage are sh**e. Play offs for me, and we lose to Pompey in the final That's the spirit, always believe
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