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Post by oldmarket65 on Nov 5, 2017 12:04:27 GMT
I am not sure whether anything in this thread is true or not. So I have no opinion either way. However: I do know we have had around 5 failed projects since 1997 at the MEM and it must be costing our club millions. So I propose what I have been saying for years now. We drop anymore BIG plans and look to fund one community stand for families and children. I understand we have money built up via the football trust and other means for one section of the ground. I admit it don't address the overall desire to have a brand new stadium . But what is the alternative ?. A ground not touched for nearly 20 years falling apart. I much rather have a 2-3 000 seater brand new stand at the south stand end and re-evaluate were we are in 3 years time. It might be small scale but it will feel a boost to fans and even better for families in the modern era. I am fed up with pipedreams ... Understand your sentiments - but that would mean looking for new owners. Maybe the Shrewsbury type model is what we should now be looking at - not that I necessarily agree with that. Why would it mean new owners ??. A new family stand like Torquay or Eastleigh will cost around £2 million. We are entitled to £750;000 or 50% of the cost if we haven't made a claim since 2010 ( we haven't). A working group could be formed to explore and 'use' the heritage agenda and ' historical argument' to find the other £1 million. Surely : the fanbase and young families should have a say and in many ways should be number one priority at any football community club. The grant is between the football trust and the community element of the club not owners. I say this because we have broken a UK record in not building one seated stand since 1950 . So as we argue about owners past and present . The community of fans should suffer in sub standard conditions ??. This sin't a dig at you mate but a frustration that ongoing politics of our club means fans lose out. On a personal level I don't see any major developments at our club for another 5-10 years so this is a short term answer. At least it will upgrade the ground and offer modern facilities. I mark my words we will be debating MEM revamps in another 5 years times and the MEM will still be the same as it was in 1997..
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Post by Feeling The Blues on Nov 5, 2017 12:12:57 GMT
Yes it could make them idiots just like many accused Nick Higgs of being. But you hit on a good point in that of course they don’t want to be perceived as making a bad investment. They would obviously want the world to think that it’s not for that reason that UWE is binned. It suits their interests for everyone to believe that UWE are greedy, inflexible or difficult. However Higgs seemed to have no difficulty progressing with them. Does that mean he’s a bumpkin idiot who was being taken for a ride and was on course to destroy the club? UWE might not be viable (for them) but if they had done proper due diligence when buying their investment they would have known that before buying it wouldn’t they. On the other hand they might have changed their minds, had buyers regret and decided not to invest more because they already regret what’s been invested so far. So given that these are professional people and you’d think would never invest in anything before doing thorough due diligence especially on the viability of the major project that the “investment” was involved in, especially on the one thing that would cause the “investment” to not realise it’s so say potential. The reasons they’ve given for scrapping that project don’t make sense either do they? Couple this also with the lack of action on the training ground build, or the lack of any real investment in the playing squad, or lack of any detail for stadium plan B or lack of any communication with their loyal fan base when it is most needed because of the above and it looks suspiciously like they don’t want to or can’t invest what’s necessary to take their “investment’ forwards. If this was an Agatha Christie novel called “Death of the UWE” Poirot would be closing in on the real villains right now, but where will he find them? They’ve disappeared! Well, I don't really think that there is only that explanation. It seems perfectly reasonable to me that they invested in the club knowing that they could renegotiate with UWE. UWE thought we were desperate for the stadium (which to be fair, we are) and heading for a deadline (Jan 2018 iirc) and so deliberately dragged their feet on renegotiations, thinking we'd ultimately have no choice but to go for it. Dwane realised we were getting the run-around and that this deal would not be good enough for their long term investment* and reluctantly decided to pull out, surprising UWE. This is entirely consistent with events that we know. It's entirely consistent with what both sides have said (give and take the usual business bullshit). It's entirely consistent with the reasonable aims of both sides. I don't understand why we need to come up with mad plots or conspiracy theories or paint people badly, or stupidly, when this perfectly reasonable chain of motives and actions accounts for what actually seems to have happened. *See Hani's Youtube vid on long term investing in (effectively) warzones. However sh**e the Mem is, it's not close to war-torn Syria. Your explanation takes them at face value that they have always told us the truth. I am challenging that because I do not think it likely that they would have bought the club unless they were completely happy with the situation with UWE. Sure they might have wanted to renegotiate some things but I don’t believe that such professional people would have invested on the whim that they might be able to renegotiate crucial points that would otherwise make it unviable. If you go back to the beginning of their ownership. There was massive positivity around what they were saying. Wael in his first interview told how they had met UWE many times before they decided to buy the club. Hamer said that the Sainsburys case was not crucial to UWE, he told us that they needed to revisit some points but that we may have to accept some compromise. He told us the landing lights were on. Then we had a year a silence, maybe this was because something had changed with UWEs position from that held when they did their thorough due diligence or maybe something changed in their own position. More likely the second I suggest when everything known is taken into account.
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Post by Antonio Fargas on Nov 5, 2017 12:19:51 GMT
Well, I don't really think that there is only that explanation. It seems perfectly reasonable to me that they invested in the club knowing that they could renegotiate with UWE. UWE thought we were desperate for the stadium (which to be fair, we are) and heading for a deadline (Jan 2018 iirc) and so deliberately dragged their feet on renegotiations, thinking we'd ultimately have no choice but to go for it. Dwane realised we were getting the run-around and that this deal would not be good enough for their long term investment* and reluctantly decided to pull out, surprising UWE. This is entirely consistent with events that we know. It's entirely consistent with what both sides have said (give and take the usual business bullshit). It's entirely consistent with the reasonable aims of both sides. I don't understand why we need to come up with mad plots or conspiracy theories or paint people badly, or stupidly, when this perfectly reasonable chain of motives and actions accounts for what actually seems to have happened. *See Hani's Youtube vid on long term investing in (effectively) warzones. However sh**e the Mem is, it's not close to war-torn Syria. Your explanation takes them at face value that they have always told us the truth. I am challenging that because I do not think it likely that they would have bought the club unless they were completely happy with the situation with UWE. Sure they might have wanted to renegotiate some things but I don’t believe that such professional people would have invested on the whim that they might be able to renegotiate crucial points that would otherwise make it unviable. If you go back to the beginning of their ownership. There was massive positivity around what they were saying. Wael in his first interview told how they had met UWE many times before they decided to buy the club. Hamer said that the Sainsburys case was not crucial to UWE, he told us that they needed to revisit some points but that we may have to accept some compromise. He told us the landing lights were on. Then we had a year a silence, maybe this was because something had changed with UWEs position from that held when they did their thorough due diligence or maybe something changed in their own position. More likely the second I suggest when everything known is taken into account. No, it's not about taking things at face value, it's about looking for an explanation that is consistent with what you might expect to find, and consistent with people acting rationally within their own interests. If that also happens to be face value, then that is more evidence that the scenario might be correct. Occam's Razor. Your explanation doesn't make as much sense. You are saying that it doesn't make sense that they would not be able to negotiate successfully with UWE, but quite clearly they weren't able to negotiate successfully with UWE. So either everything is at face value, that they weren't able to negotiate successfully with UWE or something weird has happened. It doesn't make sense to me to have to bring in something weird, when nothing weird at all will account for exactly what we know. Anyway, were obviously not going to agree, so we're just gonna end up repeating ourselves (which I have already begun to do, to be fair.).
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Post by Feeling The Blues on Nov 5, 2017 12:52:09 GMT
Your explanation takes them at face value that they have always told us the truth. I am challenging that because I do not think it likely that they would have bought the club unless they were completely happy with the situation with UWE. Sure they might have wanted to renegotiate some things but I don’t believe that such professional people would have invested on the whim that they might be able to renegotiate crucial points that would otherwise make it unviable. If you go back to the beginning of their ownership. There was massive positivity around what they were saying. Wael in his first interview told how they had met UWE many times before they decided to buy the club. Hamer said that the Sainsburys case was not crucial to UWE, he told us that they needed to revisit some points but that we may have to accept some compromise. He told us the landing lights were on. Then we had a year a silence, maybe this was because something had changed with UWEs position from that held when they did their thorough due diligence or maybe something changed in their own position. More likely the second I suggest when everything known is taken into account. No, it's not about taking things at face value, it's about looking for an explanation that is consistent with what you might expect to find, and consistent with people acting rationally within their own interests. If that also happens to be face value, then that is more evidence that the scenario might be correct. Occam's Razor. Your explanation doesn't make as much sense. You are saying that it doesn't make sense that they would not be able to negotiate successfully with UWE, but quite clearly they weren't able to negotiate successfully with UWE. So either everything is at face value, that they weren't able to negotiate successfully with UWE or something weird has happened. It doesn't make sense to me to have to bring in something weird, when nothing weird at all will account for exactly what we know. Anyway, were obviously not going to agree, so we're just gonna end up repeating ourselves (which I have already begun to do, to be fair.). Maybe we aren't going to agree on this but surely we both want the truth to come out and for the club to progress whether that's under the current ownership or another. The world is forever changing and we know all about this even as Rovers fans don't we. In our recent history we've had a student flat provider decide it would be a great investment to build accommodation attached to a redeveloped Mem, then we had them decide it wasnt a great investment and they pulled out. We then had Sainsbury's decide it was such a great investment to build a supermarket at the Mem that they even signed a contract to do so, then they decided that it wasn't a good investment at all and managed to pull out. Never though did it emerge that they had decided not to go ahead with their investment and the tricks they pulled to get out of it until the court cases. They were completely silent on it. So its not at all inconceivable that we are again victims of this for a third time, but this time it's the people who own the club who decided that we were a great investment and then decided we weren't. The world has changed since they bought the club. The BREXIT vote for one. It's quite conceivable that that could have changed their position. It more or less coincides with their silence on the matter.
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Post by Topper Gas on Nov 5, 2017 13:12:28 GMT
Seriously Brexit has hit our deal but no other takeover deal in football why would hit Rovers a solely UK based club? I've read it all on here now.
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Post by Antonio Fargas on Nov 5, 2017 13:13:00 GMT
So its not at all inconceivable that we are again victims of this for a third time, but this time it's the people who own the club who decided that we were a great investment and then decided we weren't. The world has changed since they bought the club. The BREXIT vote for one. It's quite conceivable that that could have changed their position. It more or less coincides with their silence on the matter. Again, though, you keep making stuff up in order to interpret things that have happened, where you could just interpret stuff that has happened without needing to make stuff up. 'We thought we could renegotiate the UWE to get a deal we'd be happy with. Turns out we couldn't.' No murder on the Orient Express. No little grey cells needing to be exercised.
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Post by Feeling The Blues on Nov 5, 2017 13:20:02 GMT
Seriously Brexit has hit our deal but no other takeover deal in football why would hit Rovers a solely UK based club? I've read it all on here now. I didn’t say it DID Topper just that’s it’s not inconceivable that it changed OUR owners position. There could be other factors too it wasn’t for that reason that Sainsbury’s or the flat provides changed their position. There are always reasons positions are changed no successful people never change their position.
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Post by Feeling The Blues on Nov 5, 2017 13:26:34 GMT
So its not at all inconceivable that we are again victims of this for a third time, but this time it's the people who own the club who decided that we were a great investment and then decided we weren't. The world has changed since they bought the club. The BREXIT vote for one. It's quite conceivable that that could have changed their position. It more or less coincides with their silence on the matter. Again, though, you keep making stuff up in order to interpret things that have happened, where you could just interpret stuff that has happened without needing to make stuff up. 'We thought we could renegotiate the UWE to get a deal we'd be happy with. Turns out we couldn't.' No murder on the Orient Express. No little grey cells needing to be exercised. I am not making any stuff up. I’m saying I don’t trust that our owners have been truthful in why UWE has fallen through I don’t want to repeat myself either but no one even half competent would complete to invest in something that meant serious negotiation remained outstanding to effect the value of that investment.
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Post by Antonio Fargas on Nov 5, 2017 13:30:33 GMT
Again, though, you keep making stuff up in order to interpret things that have happened, where you could just interpret stuff that has happened without needing to make stuff up. 'We thought we could renegotiate the UWE to get a deal we'd be happy with. Turns out we couldn't.' No murder on the Orient Express. No little grey cells needing to be exercised. I am not making any stuff up. I’m saying I don’t trust that our owners have been truthful in why UWE has fallen through I don’t want to repeat myself either but no one even half competent would complete to invest in something that meant serious negotiation remained outstanding to effect the value of that investment. Yeah, I'm not suggesting you're making stuff up, in a bullshitting sense. I'm suggesting, in order to interpret things in the way you are, we have to supply info we don't know about. Whereas in my interpretation, all the info is there. And fwiw carcrash takeovers (not suggesting this is one) happen all the time in business. ( eg gizmodo.com/5962107/company-hp-bought-for-10-billion-just-cost-hp-9-billion)
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Post by knowall on Nov 5, 2017 13:41:49 GMT
So its not at all inconceivable that we are again victims of this for a third time, but this time it's the people who own the club who decided that we were a great investment and then decided we weren't. The world has changed since they bought the club. The BREXIT vote for one. It's quite conceivable that that could have changed their position. It more or less coincides with their silence on the matter. Again, though, you keep making stuff up in order to interpret things that have happened, where you could just interpret stuff that has happened without needing to make stuff up. 'We thought we could renegotiate the UWE to get a deal we'd be happy with. Turns out we couldn't.' No murder on the Orient Express. No little grey cells needing to be exercised.
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Post by Hugo the Elder on Nov 5, 2017 13:47:08 GMT
OK the board. Are we really doing this? Yes and I'm not trying to be pedantic just point out that you are being 'led to believe' UWE is not viable by the very people who want you to believe it's not viable rather than they can't or don't want to invest the necessary capital. I don't understand why so many fans think that because the ALQs say something it must be true and not be questioned. Such a situation has never happened with any previous owners! And I don't understand why just because an ex director says something it must be true. Both sides have motivation to "lie". Frankly I don't trust either side. Even if the Board out brigade are correct they are going about splitting the fan base in a very sh**ty way, dropping hints and telling tales to ITK people. If the AQs are broke, want out and are really as bad as we are led to believe there must be evidence. Challenge them publicly. Out them face to face. We were told months ago a white knight was about to go public. Nothing of the sort happened. As with all these doom peddlers, nothing ever does. I've got to the point now where I dont like either side.
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Post by Feeling The Blues on Nov 5, 2017 13:53:54 GMT
I am not making any stuff up. I’m saying I don’t trust that our owners have been truthful in why UWE has fallen through I don’t want to repeat myself either but no one even half competent would complete to invest in something that meant serious negotiation remained outstanding to effect the value of that investment. Yeah, I'm not suggesting you're making stuff up, in a bullshitting sense. I'm suggesting, in order to interpret things in the way you are, we have to supply info we don't know about. Whereas in my interpretation, all the info is there. And fwiw carcrash takeovers (not suggesting this is one) happen all the time in business. ( eg gizmodo.com/5962107/company-hp-bought-for-10-billion-just-cost-hp-9-billion)Well ok but you started this exchange suggesting that my interpretation of events didn’t make sense because it would make them (ALQs) idiots. What does it make them then if they have bought the club with substantial negotiation that will effect the value of what they’ve bought still unresolved with only the hope that they will resolve?
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Post by LJG on Nov 5, 2017 13:57:13 GMT
The logic that "the Al Qadis have placed a charge against the mem therefore there is no investment risk to them" is fundamentally flawed.
If I buy a house for £200,000. Then later raise a mortgage against it of 200,000 to pay for other stuff and then go bust and have to sell the property to repay the mortgage of £200,000 I'm still two hundred grand down because I forked out for the place in the firt place. That also ignores any interest payments to service that loan.
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Post by baggins on Nov 5, 2017 13:58:42 GMT
Yeah, I'm not suggesting you're making stuff up, in a bullshitting sense. I'm suggesting, in order to interpret things in the way you are, we have to supply info we don't know about. Whereas in my interpretation, all the info is there. And fwiw carcrash takeovers (not suggesting this is one) happen all the time in business. ( eg gizmodo.com/5962107/company-hp-bought-for-10-billion-just-cost-hp-9-billion)Well ok but you started this exchange suggesting that my interpretation of events didn’t make sense because it would make them (ALQs) idiots. What does it make them then if they have bought the club with substantial negotiation that will effect the value of what they’ve bought still unresolved with only the hope that they will resolve? I need a drink.
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Post by Antonio Fargas on Nov 5, 2017 13:59:08 GMT
Yeah, I'm not suggesting you're making stuff up, in a bullshitting sense. I'm suggesting, in order to interpret things in the way you are, we have to supply info we don't know about. Whereas in my interpretation, all the info is there. And fwiw carcrash takeovers (not suggesting this is one) happen all the time in business. ( eg gizmodo.com/5962107/company-hp-bought-for-10-billion-just-cost-hp-9-billion)Well ok but you started this exchange suggesting that my interpretation of events didn’t make sense because it would make them (ALQs) idiots. What does it make them then if they have bought the club with substantial negotiation that will effect the value of what they’ve bought still unresolved with only the hope that they will resolve? They have a football league club, a piece of land worth c.18M with a certain amount of goodwill in regard to PP, a massive amount of goodwill from the fanbase. Compare that to what they paid for the club and I would suggest they found value regardless of the UWE deal. See what Wael said about value when he was interviewed (iirc it was the one where Points West went to Jordan, but not sure), and see what Hani says (Yale Youtube vid) in regard to value and long term investment when investing in the Middle East.
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Post by 1883kinhswoodgas on Nov 5, 2017 14:04:13 GMT
32 pages of guess Work and hear say without any actual known facts UTG
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Post by swissgas on Nov 5, 2017 14:04:24 GMT
Good to see this being debated and here are a couple of things to ponder.
It's fine to look on the bright side of life but our experience with Rovers under Nick Higgs should tell us that to do so blindly, and not accept what our instincts tell us, will result in a negative outcome.
It's a fallacy to believe that rich and successful people don't make mistakes. They do make mistakes but the difference is they usually make sure someone else pays for them.
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Post by Big Jock on Nov 5, 2017 14:04:28 GMT
This thread is pure comedy gold. Its like a bunch a kittens chasing each other. Just read some of ur posts back of yous all getting yer knickers in a twist guys, honestly its chuffkin hilarious
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Post by Feeling The Blues on Nov 5, 2017 14:06:14 GMT
Well ok but you started this exchange suggesting that my interpretation of events didn’t make sense because it would make them (ALQs) idiots. What does it make them then if they have bought the club with substantial negotiation that will effect the value of what they’ve bought still unresolved with only the hope that they will resolve? They have a football league club, a piece of land worth c.18M with a certain amount of goodwill in regard to PP, a massive amount of goodwill from the fanbase. Compare that to what they paid for the club and I would suggest they found value regardless of the UWE deal. See what Wael said about value when he was interviewed (iirc it was the one where Points West went to Jordan, but not sure), and see what Hani says (Yale Youtube vid) in regard to value and long term investment when investing in the Middle East. Ok good reasoned exchange but let’s leave it there (for now) because we aren’t going to agree. You seem to retain trust in the board but I have very little and trust is a big definer in how we see things. UTG
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Post by cj on Nov 5, 2017 14:08:28 GMT
One fact is that the board were quoted on numerous occasions stating that staying at the mem was no feesable for the clubs future- now it's the preferred/only option?! That doesn't stack up to me... I said it before, things change. If I said I will travel to work by bus and then the bus didn't turn up so I walked to work instead, would that stack up to you? Of course it would. Likewise, club statements saying.... "Staying at the Mem is not feesable" (I am getting the bus to work) Then the UWE deal broke down (bus didn't turn up) "Stay at the Mem is now the only option" (so I walked to work instead) Things change meaning decisions then have to change. Its not that difficult to understand.
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