|
Post by ilfracombegas on Mar 29, 2016 7:44:28 GMT
My own personal thoughts and more importantly HOPES and OPTIMISM
Games left
Crawley - h away form lost 11, position 16th Northampton -a home form lost 3, position 1st Yeovil -h away form lost 11, position 21st Stevenage -a home form lost 9, position 22nd Exeter -h away form won 10 lost 8, position 11th York -a home form lost 9, position 23rd - 7 points adrift D&R -h away form lost 10, position 24th - 10 points adrift
Looking at these games - Crawley, Yeovil probably Stevenage should be nothing but pride for them - ok no pressure, but no need to pack defences York & D&R will both probably be relegated by the time we play them Exeter - might be pushing for playoff - might be too late Northampton - who knows what we can expect
Currently I reckon the sequence should be W, L, W, W, D, W, W - which would give us 84 points. I thought the other week using the predictor we needed 87, as Accrington could well hit that figure.
If 84 points is enough to go up that will be great...........only time can tell UTG
This is football and why we all love it and often are cross about it
|
|
|
Post by Gas Go Marching In on Mar 29, 2016 8:41:51 GMT
My own personal thoughts and more importantly HOPES and OPTIMISM Games left Crawley - h away form lost 11, position 16th Northampton -a home form lost 3, position 1st Yeovil -h away form lost 11, position 21st Stevenage -a home form lost 9, position 22nd Exeter -h away form won 10 lost 8, position 11th York -a home form lost 9, position 23rd - 7 points adrift D&R -h away form lost 10, position 24th - 10 points adrift Looking at these games - Crawley, Yeovil probably Stevenage should be nothing but pride for them - ok no pressure, but no need to pack defences York & D&R will both probably be relegated by the time we play them Exeter - might be pushing for playoff - might be too late Northampton - who knows what we can expect Currently I reckon the sequence should be W, L, W, W, D, W, W - which would give us 84 points. I thought the other week using the predictor we needed 87, as Accrington could well hit that figure. If 84 points is enough to go up that will be great...........only time can tell UTG This is football and why we all love it and often are cross about it I'm really concerned about Accrington, in decent form and they have a really good run in.
|
|
|
Post by fanboy on Mar 29, 2016 9:03:15 GMT
I'm not going to look into it in quite such detail, however, I believe we can and will catch Oxford. If we win our game in hand we will only be 2 points off them - and I think we'll make that ground up.
Northampton will take one of the spots, but there are 2 to play for as far as I see it. Plymouth will not be top 3 IMO. They are not in great form, and I can't see them getting the required form kickstarted.
Therefore I wouldn't be surprised to see both us and Accington finish top 3. Now it's just time to take care of ourselves. I believe we can win EVERY game we have, and even if we don't - the others will drop points. I'm excited for the journey.
If we do fail to finish top 3 I won't be massively gutted. Our future is bright and who knows, we might just win the play offs.
|
|
|
Post by BishopstonBRFC on Mar 29, 2016 9:23:26 GMT
I'm not going to look into it in quite such detail, however, I believe we can and will catch Oxford. If we win our game in hand we will only be 2 points off them - and I think we'll make that ground up. Northampton will take one of the spots, but there are 2 to play for as far as I see it. Plymouth will not be top 3 IMO. They are not in great form, and I can't see them getting the required form kickstarted. Therefore I wouldn't be surprised to see both us and Accington finish top 3. Now it's just time to take care of ourselves. I believe we can win EVERY game we have, and even if we don't - the others will drop points. I'm excited for the journey. If we do fail to finish top 3 I won't be massively gutted. Our future is bright and who knows, we might just win the play offs. Plymouth have won the previous 2 though so maybe they were just on a blip?
|
|
|
Post by BishopstonBRFC on Mar 29, 2016 9:24:19 GMT
My own personal thoughts and more importantly HOPES and OPTIMISM Games left Crawley - h away form lost 11, position 16th Northampton -a home form lost 3, position 1st Yeovil -h away form lost 11, position 21st Stevenage -a home form lost 9, position 22nd Exeter -h away form won 10 lost 8, position 11th York -a home form lost 9, position 23rd - 7 points adrift D&R -h away form lost 10, position 24th - 10 points adrift Looking at these games - Crawley, Yeovil probably Stevenage should be nothing but pride for them - ok no pressure, but no need to pack defences York & D&R will both probably be relegated by the time we play them Exeter - might be pushing for playoff - might be too late Northampton - who knows what we can expect Currently I reckon the sequence should be W, L, W, W, D, W, W - which would give us 84 points. I thought the other week using the predictor we needed 87, as Accrington could well hit that figure. If 84 points is enough to go up that will be great...........only time can tell UTG This is football and why we all love it and often are cross about it I think Yeovil will be a tough game as most of this defeats were earlier this season before the management change.
|
|
|
Post by Gas Go Marching In on Mar 29, 2016 9:50:00 GMT
I'm not going to look into it in quite such detail, however, I believe we can and will catch Oxford. If we win our game in hand we will only be 2 points off them - and I think we'll make that ground up. Northampton will take one of the spots, but there are 2 to play for as far as I see it. Plymouth will not be top 3 IMO. They are not in great form, and I can't see them getting the required form kickstarted. Therefore I wouldn't be surprised to see both us and Accington finish top 3. Now it's just time to take care of ourselves. I believe we can win EVERY game we have, and even if we don't - the others will drop points. I'm excited for the journey. If we do fail to finish top 3 I won't be massively gutted. Our future is bright and who knows, we might just win the play offs. Plymouth have won the previous 2 though so maybe they were just on a blip? Against 2 teams who were in horrendous form. Looks like they only just struggled over the line against York too.
|
|
|
Post by madgas on Mar 29, 2016 9:50:54 GMT
I think some midfield returns would be handy.
If we can get through the next game, it could all be back on.
Carlisle was always the bogey team, we have struggled slightly against physical teams:
Carlisle Barnet Steveange Newport (first time- just lumped it)
I'm excited by the rest of the fixtures except- Stevenage.
|
|
|
Post by fanboy on Mar 29, 2016 9:53:25 GMT
I'm not going to look into it in quite such detail, however, I believe we can and will catch Oxford. If we win our game in hand we will only be 2 points off them - and I think we'll make that ground up. Northampton will take one of the spots, but there are 2 to play for as far as I see it. Plymouth will not be top 3 IMO. They are not in great form, and I can't see them getting the required form kickstarted. Therefore I wouldn't be surprised to see both us and Accington finish top 3. Now it's just time to take care of ourselves. I believe we can win EVERY game we have, and even if we don't - the others will drop points. I'm excited for the journey. If we do fail to finish top 3 I won't be massively gutted. Our future is bright and who knows, we might just win the play offs. Plymouth have won the previous 2 though so maybe they were just on a blip? Not convincingly by any stretch. York are a DIRE side and even though Plymouth were 3-0 up, York came back to 3-2. Plymouths run in isn't the easiest and I think they'll fail to make the cut.
|
|
|
Post by Gas Go Marching In on Mar 29, 2016 10:04:50 GMT
Plymouth have won the previous 2 though so maybe they were just on a blip? Not convincingly by any stretch. York are a DIRE side and even though Plymouth were 3-0 up, York came back to 3-2. Plymouths run in isn't the easiest and I think they'll fail to make the cut. I agree I am worried about Accrington, I'm not sure what to make of Oxford, thing is their goal difference is quite superior to ours.
|
|
|
Post by RD on Mar 29, 2016 10:06:43 GMT
Provided our confidence hasn't taken a knock against Carlisle, there's absolutely no reason whatsoever we shouldn't bounce back against a very poor Crawley side.
Let's not forget, we'll have Lockyer back who has to be the best defender in this division - that will obviously tighten us up at the back and we're not struggling for goals of late.
If we do bounce back against Crawley then our fixtures on paper look very winnable. Only Northampton looks a "toughie", but may have won promotion by the time we play them and, as such, we might "want it more" - who knows. That said, they haven't been anywhere near as convincing over the last few games anyway and, as such, I think we look more likely to get something out of this game now than we might have done a few weeks back.
We were always likely to drop points between now and the end of the season, and there are bound to be more twists and turns to come yet.
Therefore, unless the players' confidence has taken a - IMO - needless significant knock, then I don't see any reason why we can't still obtain automatic promotion.
|
|
|
Post by fanboy on Mar 29, 2016 10:15:09 GMT
I take yesterdays result kind of like going 1-0 down in the opening 5 mins of a game. Would rather it happen then than in the 80th minute. We now have time to dust ourselves down and get back in it.
|
|
|
Post by Topper Gas on Mar 29, 2016 10:29:10 GMT
My own personal thoughts and more importantly HOPES and OPTIMISM Games left Crawley - h away form lost 11, position 16th Northampton -a home form lost 3, position 1st Yeovil -h away form lost 11, position 21st Stevenage -a home form lost 9, position 22nd Exeter -h away form won 10 lost 8, position 11th York -a home form lost 9, position 23rd - 7 points adrift D&R -h away form lost 10, position 24th - 10 points adrift Looking at these games - Crawley, Yeovil probably Stevenage should be nothing but pride for them - ok no pressure, but no need to pack defences York & D&R will both probably be relegated by the time we play them Exeter - might be pushing for playoff - might be too late Northampton - who knows what we can expect Currently I reckon the sequence should be W, L, W, W, D, W, W - which would give us 84 points. I thought the other week using the predictor we needed 87, as Accrington could well hit that figure. If 84 points is enough to go up that will be great...........only time can tell UTG This is football and why we all love it and often are cross about it Didn't SteveK start a similar thread yesterday, as I posted on there I feel expecting us to win 3 of our remaining 4 home games plus 2 of the away games is a big ask, given that pressure is bound to increase towards the end of the season? Persoanlly I feel the next couple of games are important games as if we can stay at least within a couple of points of 2nd &/or 3rd after those games then things will get interesting, as Oxford seem to be struggling for goals lately & Plymouth have a tough end to the season plus surely Accrington's must have a dodgy spell at some point ?
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 29, 2016 10:45:46 GMT
I am most fearful of Accy, but lets not forget they've played Daggers and Newport in the last three, they actually have some fixtures left which could be hiccup material. Last month they faced a tough spell and dropped points (Portsmouth beat them, Wombles drew, Wycombe drew, Yeovil beat them)
Luton (A) - Never easy place to go, often a team who 'turn it on' against the teams high in the league. Beaten Plymouth, Orient and Wycombe in last month or so. Hartlepool (A) - Unbeaten in last six since playing us, good win at Orient yesterday. Hartlepool also not an easy place to go historically. Trouble is they have a lot of games between now and the Accy game. Wycombe (A) - This is the big one for me. Wycombe chasing play-offs will be well up for this one if its still tight.
Their home games are all bankers though in my opinion. Having said that, teams often lose points in unexpected scenarios so who knows.
We 100% need to win next week. If we don't we've well and truly hit 'blip' phase again which I think would be too late to recover from. Hopefully this is a repeat of the Wycombe result last month, in which we could have got more points on the day, but the team responded excellently.
|
|
|
Post by warehamgas on Mar 29, 2016 12:52:35 GMT
Well done for all the research and predictions. It looks as if the points total will be higher than average for 3rd place. In the end it will depend on many things but to get 5 wins and a draw to give us 84 points is going some. That would mean 11 wins, I draw and 2 losses out of last 14 games, not impossible but very difficult. I know it's a boring football cliche but I think we've got to take one game at a time and see what happens. Next game Crawley we need to win,then re-assess and so on until end of season. Northampton can take a longer view but no one else can. As they say it's squeaky bum time and whoever holds their nerve will gain promotion, the rest go into play-offs. Our expectations as fans has now gone sky high. In August I would have been happy with top half and no nervy lower mid-table position. In January looking at certain play-off position, at end of Feb not so sure and after Cambridge match looking at catching Oxford. Now...? Whatever it comes to, team have done well, DC has done well and it has been a successful season but fingers crossed it could be even better. Come on you Gas!! UTG!
|
|
|
Post by gashead1981 on Mar 29, 2016 13:41:20 GMT
I always said that the Carlisle, Crawley and Northampton games worried me the most. Only Northampton to go and we could still get a result there.
Our run in is decent enough. However, Exeter have hit a purple patch and that could be a tricky game. Form and league position mean nothing against Imbred town and they will be delighted to stop us getting a result. Accrington have Luton and Wycombe to play, both away from home and whilst Muff have won the last 2 games, they were against lowly opposition and had a terrible 4 weeks before, they could yet again wobble.
There is a lot of footy to be played, we could now win the next 6 and win the race for auto or have a mix bag and end up in the play offs. Either way I would have taken this at the start of the season so let's not get to doom and gloom about last Saturday. At the start of the month we weren't even in the play offs and now we are right in the mix for auto promotion.
It's game on and it's going to be a nail bitingly close run in.
|
|
|
Post by seanclevedongas on Mar 29, 2016 14:01:28 GMT
"I always said that the Carlisle, Crawley and Northampton games worried me the most. Only Northampton to go and we could still get a result there."
Did you post this next Sunday?
|
|
|
Post by oddsongas on Mar 29, 2016 14:16:37 GMT
"I always said that the Carlisle, Crawley and Northampton games worried me the most. Only Northampton to go and we could still get a result there." Did you post this next Sunday? Didn't you hear? Lost 4-0. 4 own goals from Lockyer. Should never have brought him back into the team
|
|