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Post by Gasshole on Aug 6, 2016 11:47:46 GMT
Gray you have plenty of valid points there. I agree it's not quite as simple as I had stated above. I get a real boner from stats etc , and like to use historical data to quantify and project outcomes. Last season looking at one position 90 mins X 46 league games. MT last season played 3349 of a possible 4140 minutes (81%) scored 27 goals, one goal every 124 mins. That only left 791 mins (9%) he wasn't playing. MT 27 goals in 3349 mins, one goal every 124 minutes. Projected goals =33 BB 13 goals in 2848 mins , one goal every 219 minutes. Projected goals =19 JE 7 goals in 1881 mins, one goal every 269 minutes. projected goals =15 RG 8 goals in 1876 mins, one goal every 235 mins. Projected goals =18 EH 7 goals in 1209 mins, one goal every 173 mins. Projected goals =24 Ergo if we play 5 upfront we'll be in the Champions league this time next year. I'll get me cloak. How about the person who replaced Taylor in games he was substituted or didn't play ? How many goals were scored in those 791 minutes by his replacement and therefore the goals per minute. 4 goals scored in those 791 minutes that MT was not on the pitch. EH 1 @ Plymouth, 1 @ Newport JE 1 @ home to Portsmouth, 1 @ York 1 goal every 197 minutes. The goal that Ellis scored at Plymouth was worth a point, as we went up on goal difference i'd say it was fkin priceless.
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Post by Staffordshire Gas on Aug 6, 2016 11:54:49 GMT
Gasshole,as our furthest flung contributor and a statistician,Radio Stoke to-day claimed relegated Crewe will do 6791 miles in their travels this season in Div 2.How do we compare? Think your'e the chap to answer that one even from NZ.
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Post by Gasshole on Aug 6, 2016 12:02:39 GMT
Gasshole,as our furthest flung contributor and a statistician,Radio Stoke to-day claimed relegated Crewe will do 6791 miles in their travels this season in Div 2.How do we compare? Think your'e the chap to answer that one even from NZ. Sorry Staffy, we only use Km's in NZ. I may get the abacus out tomorrow once I've sheared some sheep.
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Post by msngas on Aug 6, 2016 12:07:51 GMT
I hope sheared!!!
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Post by Gasshole on Aug 6, 2016 12:18:21 GMT
Unfortunately work not play. TBH I'm more of a goat man, their skin is so soft and silky.
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Post by msngas on Aug 6, 2016 12:21:02 GMT
Unfortunately work not play. Phew, thank goodness for that. Happy shearing!!
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Post by Topper Gas on Aug 6, 2016 12:26:37 GMT
Gray you have plenty of valid points there. I agree it's not quite as simple as I had stated above. I get a real boner from stats etc , and like to use historical data to quantify and project outcomes. Last season looking at one position 90 mins X 46 league games. MT last season played 3349 of a possible 4140 minutes (81%) scored 27 goals, one goal every 124 mins. That only left 791 mins (9%) he wasn't playing. MT 27 goals in 3349 mins, one goal every 124 minutes. Projected goals =33 BB 13 goals in 2848 mins , one goal every 219 minutes. Projected goals =19 JE 7 goals in 1881 mins, one goal every 269 minutes. projected goals =15 RG 8 goals in 1876 mins, one goal every 235 mins. Projected goals =18 EH 7 goals in 1209 mins, one goal every 173 mins. Projected goals =24 Ergo if we play 5 upfront we'll be in the Champions league this time next year. I'll get me cloak. EH can deffo make it at this level. He is scoring goals at International level. Would love to see him starting and getting a good run in the side. UTG ! Only U21 level, from memory he's scored twice, one a pen! The question is can EH get us 10/15 goals this season, or can we get somebody in who can.
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Post by Gasshole on Aug 6, 2016 12:27:59 GMT
Unfortunately work not play. Phew, thank goodness for that. Happy shearing!! Hopefully no ones remembers it's Winter here.
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