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Post by stuart1974 on Oct 28, 2018 9:45:13 GMT
It was referring to the Just In Time process and the Swindon assembly plant. Parts are manufactured all over Europe and moved to Swindon for assembly. At the moment a part from Holland takes 8 hours to arrive in Swindon when ordered. In the event of customs checks the boss said they would need vastly more warehouse space (currently 24 hours worth to 7-10 days) to rnsure parts were always available or move assembly elsewhere. Of course some of that is merely a veiled threat but shouldn't be ignored. Anything less than frictionless trade will have consequences one way or another. I remember watching one of those Megafactories documentaries on Discovery a while back. I think it was either BMW or Audi and one of their models (one of the Supercar types) had most of the engine and some other parts built in the USA before being sent to Germany for the final assembly. HPresumably the assumed border delays weren't deemed so damaging by the Germans? Suoercars? Not one of the mass produced models? That would make a difference if that was the case. Anyway, as I said to Bags, it needn't be a problem but it could be if there are delays in sourcing parts and the European car market is inter dependent. There are solutions but many are additional costs not currently experienced. If there are problems, what would you say to the bosses of Honda, etc or more importantly, producers of perishables such as food? How should they plan for the interim? Ignore, assume no change or all eventualities including no deal and border checks?
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2018 10:28:51 GMT
I remember watching one of those Megafactories documentaries on Discovery a while back. I think it was either BMW or Audi and one of their models (one of the Supercar types) had most of the engine and some other parts built in the USA before being sent to Germany for the final assembly. HPresumably the assumed border delays weren't deemed so damaging by the Germans? Suoercars? Not one of the mass produced models? That would make a difference if that was the case. Anyway, as I said to Bags, it needn't be a problem but it could be if there are delays in sourcing parts and the European car market is inter dependent. There are solutions but many are additional costs not currently experienced. If there are problems, what would you say to the bosses of Honda, etc or more importantly, producers of perishables such as food? How should they plan for the interim? Ignore, assume no change or all eventualities including no deal and border checks? What about Tarriffs Stuart? Over and above customs checks if we don't get a free trade deal, under WTO rules we would have to charge Tarriffs. Of course at this moment in time, if it's not sorted, when we leave the EU in March 2019 we won't be a member of the WTO...
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Post by stuart1974 on Oct 28, 2018 10:42:59 GMT
Suoercars? Not one of the mass produced models? That would make a difference if that was the case. Anyway, as I said to Bags, it needn't be a problem but it could be if there are delays in sourcing parts and the European car market is inter dependent. There are solutions but many are additional costs not currently experienced. If there are problems, what would you say to the bosses of Honda, etc or more importantly, producers of perishables such as food? How should they plan for the interim? Ignore, assume no change or all eventualities including no deal and border checks? What about Tarriffs Stuart? Over and above customs checks if we don't get a free trade deal, under WTO rules we would have to charge Tarriffs. Of course at this moment in time, if it's not sorted, when we leave the EU in March 2019 we won't be a member of the WTO... Just trying a different approach. Apart from your good self nobody seemed to want a discussion about tariffs when I had previously mentioned them. Can't think why.....
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2018 10:50:27 GMT
What about Tarriffs Stuart? Over and above customs checks if we don't get a free trade deal, under WTO rules we would have to charge Tarriffs. Of course at this moment in time, if it's not sorted, when we leave the EU in March 2019 we won't be a member of the WTO... Just trying a different approach. Apart from your good self nobody seemed to want a discussion about tariffs when I had previously mentioned them. Can't think why..... Ha ha ha. Altogether now, fingers in ears, deep breath And did those feet in ancient time Walk upon England's mountain green? And was the holy Lamb of God On England's pleasant pastures seen? And did the countenance divine Shine forth upon our clouded hills? And was Jerusalem builded here Among those dark satanic mills? Bring me my bow of burning gold! Bring me my arrows of desire! Bring me my spear! O clouds, unfold! Bring me my chariot of fire! I will not cease from mental fight, Nor shall my sword sleep in my hand, Till we have built Jerusalem In England's green and pleasant land. 😂😂😂🙊
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2018 18:53:48 GMT
What about Tarriffs Stuart? Over and above customs checks if we don't get a free trade deal, under WTO rules we would have to charge Tarriffs. Of course at this moment in time, if it's not sorted, when we leave the EU in March 2019 we won't be a member of the WTO... Just trying a different approach. Apart from your good self nobody seemed to want a discussion about tariffs when I had previously mentioned them. Can't think why..... Tariff's will hurt the EU more than us. If they don't want an agreement, then it can only be for political reasons. It's best we don't belong to a childish club like that. Some tariffs will of course come down, as the EU already places tariffs on certain things. The UK could just wipe those out, which is also something that doesn't get mentioned.
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Post by stuart1974 on Oct 28, 2018 20:53:34 GMT
Just trying a different approach. Apart from your good self nobody seemed to want a discussion about tariffs when I had previously mentioned them. Can't think why..... Tariff's will hurt the EU more than us. If they don't want an agreement, then it can only be for political reasons. It's best we don't belong to a childish club like that. Some tariffs will of course come down, as the EU already places tariffs on certain things. The UK could just wipe those out, which is also something that doesn't get mentioned. Hurt them more than us? How do you come to that conclusion? Also, not sure your last point about wiping off tariffs unilaterally.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2018 21:35:22 GMT
Quite simply, the UK imports far more from the EU than it exports to the EU.
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Post by stuart1974 on Oct 28, 2018 21:49:15 GMT
Quite simply, the UK imports far more from the EU than it exports to the EU. It's not quite as easy as that. Tariffs vary according to product, dairy or meat for example, so someone will need to do a more detailed analysis of the trade differentials. Also, we would have to apply said tariffs to all imports and exports whereas the EU would be largely protected by their shiney new trade deals with other countries such as Canada and Japan.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2018 22:00:24 GMT
The only way we can apply zero Tarriffs to EU imports without a trade deal is to apply zero Tarriffs to all equivalent imports from countries with WTO membership. It doesn't work. There, thats mentioned. Low cost countries would kill us. In any event, as of today, the UK is not a member of the WTO as a stand alone nation outside of the EU umbrella. Once we leave the EU, EU countries will be obliged, under WTO rules, to apply Tarriffs to UK products and similarly we will have to reciprocate (if indeed we ever become members of the WTO) 5 months to go.
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Post by aghast on Oct 28, 2018 23:22:36 GMT
There are only two ways this can go.
We really leave and face the harsh world outside. It's cold out there.
Or we pretend to leave, and we carry on as normal.
I think we all know how this will end.
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Post by Hugo the Elder on Oct 29, 2018 6:45:54 GMT
I remember watching one of those Megafactories documentaries on Discovery a while back. I think it was either BMW or Audi and one of their models (one of the Supercar types) had most of the engine and some other parts built in the USA before being sent to Germany for the final assembly. Presumably the assumed border delays weren't deemed so damaging by the Germans? Why do people get so blinkered about the EU? I lol'd.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 29, 2018 8:57:58 GMT
From the FT The UK has managed to “roll over”only 14 of the 236 international treaties that the EU has signed with countries around the world, raising fresh concern of disruption if Britain crashes out the bloc without a deal. With just five months to go to Brexit, the UK is under mounting pressure to replicate agreements that the EU has with 168 countries, so that Britain can retain rights that it currently has with these nations as a result of being a member of the bloc. Blinkered? ??
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Post by Deleted on Oct 29, 2018 13:04:09 GMT
If this was purely about a trading organisation then I don't think there would have been a referendum in the first place and if there was remain would have won by a landslide. I think the majority have became fed up with the growth of the EU and its role in other areas of our lives other than trade and it would only get worse. I don't think anyone who voted leave was expecting it to be a bed of roses in the short term but this country has overcome far worse over the generations and I'm willing to accept some short term economic pain in full confidence that we will flourish in the long term and others will then seek to follow. I think it's fairly obvious that the EU leaders are worried about us making a success of independence which is why they are trying to be as difficult (arguably impossible) to negotiate with as they can despite their stance and the forcing of a harsh brexit being potentially detrimental to their remaining member states.
If I was being totally selfish and thought solely about myself and how short term economic problems could impact on me then I would have voted remain. Instead I voted leave which I think is the better option for this country in the longer term. Looking at the bullying tactics of the EU during 'negotiations' I'm glad to be leaving such a vile organisation which is run by decidedly dodgy characters with their snouts firmly wedged in the EU troughs.
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Post by baggins on Oct 29, 2018 13:18:02 GMT
From the FT The UK has managed to “roll over”only 14 of the 236 international treaties that the EU has signed with countries around the world, raising fresh concern of disruption if Britain crashes out the bloc without a deal. With just five months to go to Brexit, the UK is under mounting pressure to replicate agreements that the EU has with 168 countries, so that Britain can retain rights that it currently has with these nations as a result of being a member of the bloc. Blinkered? ?? Going well then. Who knew?
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Post by Deleted on Oct 29, 2018 13:20:19 GMT
Eric Obviously you are entitled to your views, but you offer nothing, in terms of empirical evidence, to support them. I see you concede the trade and economic argument, but you hang on by a thread to an argument that despite this we will be better off in the long wrong, but offer no opinion as to how this will happen. I am also interested in your opinion of what "other areas of our lives" you think being members of the EU has caused intrusion? I can't think of one that has not had some beneficial impact. Perhaps you could articulate them.
I look forward to your response.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 29, 2018 13:37:19 GMT
Eric Obviously you are entitled to your views, but you offer nothing, in terms of empirical evidence, to support them. I see you concede the trade and economic argument, but you hang on by a thread to an argument that despite this we will be better off in the long wrong, but offer no opinion as to how this will happen. I am also interested in your opinion of what "other areas of our lives" you think being members of the EU has caused intrusion? I can't think of one that has not had some beneficial impact. Perhaps you could articulate them. I look forward to your response. "I am also interested in your opinion of what "other areas of our lives" you think being members of the EU has caused intrusion?" There is a simple answer to your argument Oldie. If you cannot mention one single area of your life that is impacted by the EU, then why worry if we leave? and once again I ask the question, which by the way, nobody even attempts to debate. Just what is the long-term future with staying in the EU? Are we looking at a United States of Europe? Are we looking at the end of sovereign countries? Does 'ever closer union' mean that we would have to adopt the Euro? Will we continue to be governed by an un-elected cabal in Brussels? Will our rely on our defence on a United States of Europe Defence Force?
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Post by Deleted on Oct 29, 2018 13:51:21 GMT
and as predicted, Merkel's CDU took another hammering in the Hessen State elections, as did their coalition partners the SPD. The result is that Merkel is stepping down as the Chair of the CDU Party, however she will remain Chancellor. However, she has already said she will not stand for re-election. It's the end of Merkel.
As being shown right across Europe, people are fed-up with the same-old same-old parties.
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Post by stuart1974 on Oct 29, 2018 13:56:56 GMT
Eric Obviously you are entitled to your views, but you offer nothing, in terms of empirical evidence, to support them. I see you concede the trade and economic argument, but you hang on by a thread to an argument that despite this we will be better off in the long wrong, but offer no opinion as to how this will happen. I am also interested in your opinion of what "other areas of our lives" you think being members of the EU has caused intrusion? I can't think of one that has not had some beneficial impact. Perhaps you could articulate them. I look forward to your response. "I am also interested in your opinion of what "other areas of our lives" you think being members of the EU has caused intrusion?" There is a simple answer to your argument Oldie. If you cannot mention one single area of your life that is impacted by the EU, then why worry if we leave? and once again I ask the question, which by the way, nobody even attempts to debate. Just what is the long-term future with staying in the EU? Are we looking at a United States of Europe? Are we looking at the end of sovereign countries? Does 'ever closer union' mean that we would have to adopt the Euro? Will we continue to be governed by an un-elected cabal in Brussels? Will our rely on our defence on a United States of Europe Defence Force? Thanks for remembering what I have written 🙄, I've answered those questions at least twice over the last few years. The short answer (again) is no as we consistently declined or vetoed the proposals. A friend of mine once told me he hated the EU because he feared they would force us to drive on the right hand side of the road. True story.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 29, 2018 14:03:32 GMT
Eric Obviously you are entitled to your views, but you offer nothing, in terms of empirical evidence, to support them. I see you concede the trade and economic argument, but you hang on by a thread to an argument that despite this we will be better off in the long wrong, but offer no opinion as to how this will happen. I am also interested in your opinion of what "other areas of our lives" you think being members of the EU has caused intrusion? I can't think of one that has not had some beneficial impact. Perhaps you could articulate them. I look forward to your response. I don't think you are interested in or respect others views on this subject. You want me to put forward statements which you will argue against, quoting various lines from pro remain articles or carefully selected statistics. I can't be bothered to spend my days arguing with someone who will never respect my views or right to have my own opinion. I don't doubt your superior intelligence but the constant snide comments from pro-remain towards anyone who has a different view to them is very tiresome. If there is a travesty and a "People's vote" is granted the combined nastiness towards pro brexit voters from both the remain supporters and the same attitude from the EU leaders will make the leave margin of victory even more convincing. i don't want to be part of a superstate. I want us to have our independence to manage our affairs in respect of trade, borders, laws, defence etc...why do we want to limit ourselves to this one small group rather than build relationships with anyone around the globe? I don't trust any of the power brokers at the EU and I suspect with thorough investigation they would prove no less crooked than the likes of Sepp Blatter and his cronies at FIFA If remain had won I would have been disappointed but accepted the democratic choice of the country and just got on with life. I wouldn't constantly try to put down those with different views, March on the streets to overturn democracy or paint clever graffiti slogans on inner city walls.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 29, 2018 14:05:57 GMT
Eric Obviously you are entitled to your views, but you offer nothing, in terms of empirical evidence, to support them. I see you concede the trade and economic argument, but you hang on by a thread to an argument that despite this we will be better off in the long wrong, but offer no opinion as to how this will happen. I am also interested in your opinion of what "other areas of our lives" you think being members of the EU has caused intrusion? I can't think of one that has not had some beneficial impact. Perhaps you could articulate them. I look forward to your response. "I am also interested in your opinion of what "other areas of our lives" you think being members of the EU has caused intrusion?" There is a simple answer to your argument Oldie. If you cannot mention one single area of your life that is impacted by the EU, then why worry if we leave? and once again I ask the question, which by the way, nobody even attempts to debate. Just what is the long-term future with staying in the EU? Are we looking at a United States of Europe? Are we looking at the end of sovereign countries? Does 'ever closer union' mean that we would have to adopt the Euro? Will we continue to be governed by an un-elected cabal in Brussels? Will our rely on our defence on a United States of Europe Defence Force? I worry about leaving because of A) The economic consequences, short and long term B) I worry about the social consequences of this economic impact in terms of funding for health, education and housing C) I worry about the cultural consequences in returning to an inward looking country, kidding itself by looking at the past with a false sense of achievement In terms of the future, I see the future as one of alliances, where sovereign States join by consensus to better their trade, defence and well being, under the umbrella of the rule of law. You? Btw, why not let Eric answer.
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