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Post by stuart1974 on Jul 2, 2024 14:27:44 GMT
Brilliant yet depressing.
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Post by yattongas on Jul 2, 2024 22:55:06 GMT
Ok ….. we’re at the squeaky bum time 🕰️ How many seats are the Tories going to get ? stuart1974 oldie supergas aghast francegas and anyone else who fancies a guess ? Winner gets a free two week stay at France’s gaff with all the wine & cheese you can consume I’m going 87 seats
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Post by aghast on Jul 2, 2024 23:14:21 GMT
Ok ….. we’re at the squeaky bum time 🕰️ How many seats are the Tories going to get ? stuart1974 oldie supergas aghast francegas and anyone else who fancies a guess ? Winner gets a free two week stay at France’s gaff with all the wine & cheese you can consume I’m going 87 seats I think they will rally very slightly in the final couple of days as some nervous Tories decide to plump for Rishi over Nige, and it won't be quite as bad as the latest polls suggest. But still very bad. I'll go for 102 seats.
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Post by oldie on Jul 3, 2024 5:48:07 GMT
125 seats. 55% of undecided voters polled were previous Tory voters. Mostly older women allegedly and when push comes to shove I suspect they vote Tory. If they don't it could be less than a 100
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Post by supergas on Jul 3, 2024 8:44:50 GMT
Ok ….. we’re at the squeaky bum time 🕰️ How many seats are the Tories going to get ? stuart1974 oldie supergas aghast francegas and anyone else who fancies a guess ? Winner gets a free two week stay at France’s gaff with all the wine & cheese you can consume I’m going 87 seats I just logged in to suggest a guessing game. But let's make it really tricky - all parties. This is the result of Survation's MRP poll from a couple of days back to give you a guide to parties and remember the total should be 632 (not including NI) My guess: Labour 432 (not as stong as the polls suggest but obviously going to get a huge majority - 218 by my guess) Conservatives 118 (shy Tories will come out but when you lose the centre to Labour and the centre-right to Reform what's left...?) Lib Dems 52 (aside from the desperate stunts to get on TV, they seem to mostly be a pro-EU party now and there are other issues) SNP 8 (if the police result had concluded earlier it could have been even lower...) Reform 15 (they will pick off some easy seats and will 5m+ votes which will make them a more important opposition force) Greens 2 (fingers crossed for just one) Plaid Cymru 5 (will pick off a couple of Labour seats as a backlash against the Welsh Government)
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Post by aghast on Jul 3, 2024 9:49:28 GMT
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Post by yattongas on Jul 3, 2024 14:16:40 GMT
Labour 454 Tory 87 Libdems 64 SNP 20 Reform 1 Greens 3 Plaid Cyrmu 3 Edited for my mate Super
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Post by aghast on Jul 3, 2024 16:24:34 GMT
Labour 447 Tory 102 Lib Dems 55 SNP 15 Reform 8 Greens 2 Plaid Cyrmu 3
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Post by stuart1974 on Jul 3, 2024 16:56:03 GMT
Labour 425 Tory 116 Libdems 57 SNP 23 Reform 3 Greens 3 Plaid Cymru 4 Speaker 1
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Post by yattongas on Jul 3, 2024 17:06:37 GMT
Ok ….. we’re at the squeaky bum time 🕰️ How many seats are the Tories going to get ? stuart1974 oldie supergas aghast francegas and anyone else who fancies a guess ? Winner gets a free two week stay at France’s gaff with all the wine & cheese you can consume I’m going 87 seats I just logged in to suggest a guessing game. But let's make it really tricky - all parties. This is the result of Survation's MRP poll from a couple of days back to give you a guide to parties and remember the total should be 632 (not including NI) My guess: Labour 432 (not as stong as the polls suggest but obviously going to get a huge majority - 218 by my guess) Conservatives 118 (shy Tories will come out but when you lose the centre to Labour and the centre-right to Reform what's left...?) Lib Dems 52 (aside from the desperate stunts to get on TV, they seem to mostly be a pro-EU party now and there are other issues) SNP 8 (if the police result had concluded earlier it could have been even lower...) Reform 15 (they will pick off some easy seats and will 5m+ votes which will make them a more important opposition force) Greens 2 (fingers crossed for just one) Plaid Cymru 5 (will pick off a couple of Labour seats as a backlash against the Welsh Government) No chance Reform gets 15 seats
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Post by aghast on Jul 3, 2024 17:34:17 GMT
Perhaps we can tally the scores by adding up the number of places we are out by and the lowest score wins.
So if Labour gets 450 and one person said 460, they score 10. Similarly if someone said 425 they score 25.
Same for each party.
The speaker as Stuart pointed out is a special case but maybe we can score him as Labour if it gets that close. There is a holiday in France at stake so it might get tense.
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Post by yattongas on Jul 3, 2024 17:38:09 GMT
Perhaps we can tally the scores by adding up the number of places we are out by and the lowest score wins. So if Labour gets 450 and one person said 460, they score 10. Similarly if someone said 425 they score 25. Same for each party. The speaker as Stuart pointed out is a special case but maybe we can score him as Labour if it gets that close. There is a holiday in France at stake so it might get tense. Good idea ! I expect to be in single figures.
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Post by yattongas on Jul 3, 2024 18:28:48 GMT
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Post by Gassy on Jul 3, 2024 22:52:58 GMT
What a joke. Desperation to keep their record, they’ve been campaigning against Starmers Labour Party the entire time.
The fragility of the right is clear to see
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Post by supergas on Jul 4, 2024 2:41:40 GMT
I just logged in to suggest a guessing game. But let's make it really tricky - all parties. This is the result of Survation's MRP poll from a couple of days back to give you a guide to parties and remember the total should be 632 (not including NI) My guess: Labour 432 (not as stong as the polls suggest but obviously going to get a huge majority - 218 by my guess) Conservatives 118 (shy Tories will come out but when you lose the centre to Labour and the centre-right to Reform what's left...?) Lib Dems 52 (aside from the desperate stunts to get on TV, they seem to mostly be a pro-EU party now and there are other issues) SNP 8 (if the police result had concluded earlier it could have been even lower...) Reform 15 (they will pick off some easy seats and will 5m+ votes which will make them a more important opposition force) Greens 2 (fingers crossed for just one) Plaid Cymru 5 (will pick off a couple of Labour seats as a backlash against the Welsh Government) No chance Reform gets 15 seats ...probably not but they will get 5m votes...
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Post by supergas on Jul 4, 2024 8:05:48 GMT
Perhaps we can tally the scores by adding up the number of places we are out by and the lowest score wins. So if Labour gets 450 and one person said 460, they score 10. Similarly if someone said 425 they score 25. Same for each party. The speaker as Stuart pointed out is a special case but maybe we can score him as Labour if it gets that close. There is a holiday in France at stake so it might get tense. I've already started a spreadsheet - yattongas has already made it tricky by not being able to count to 632...
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Post by yattongas on Jul 4, 2024 8:24:04 GMT
Perhaps we can tally the scores by adding up the number of places we are out by and the lowest score wins. So if Labour gets 450 and one person said 460, they score 10. Similarly if someone said 425 they score 25. Same for each party. The speaker as Stuart pointed out is a special case but maybe we can score him as Labour if it gets that close. There is a holiday in France at stake so it might get tense. I've already started a spreadsheet - yattongas has already made it tricky by not being able to count to 632... Labour one less then 👍
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Post by francegas on Jul 4, 2024 8:37:29 GMT
Labour 422 Tories 122 Lib Dems 57 SNP 21 Reform 4 Greens 2 P C 4
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Post by francegas on Jul 4, 2024 8:57:17 GMT
Ok ….. we’re at the squeaky bum time 🕰️ How many seats are the Tories going to get ? stuart1974 oldie supergas aghast francegas and anyone else who fancies a guess ? Winner gets a free two week stay at France’s gaff with all the wine & cheese you can consume I’m going 87 seats Anyone (within reason) 😂 is welcome here, even you Yatton. Afterall I did offer you, two years on the bounce, if you wanted to break your journey up travelling through France that you were welcome to stay here. 🍷🍷🍷🥐🥐🧀🧀
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Post by Gassy on Jul 4, 2024 8:58:29 GMT
I thought there were 650?
I was going to post earlier, before I got confused on the totals. However, one thing thats scary is that France & I had the exact same numbers for Lib Dems and below. In fact I had labour on 12 lower and Tories on 12 higher!
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